NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	6.0 [644]		MVP	Justin Jackson (SAC): +16.4%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	1.5 [666]		LVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): -12.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Jackson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16	0.14	0.03	-0.00	11	79%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bruno Caboclo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	14	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	17	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.06
Frank Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	21	49%	-0.01	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Nigel Hayes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	11	42%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	9	65%	0.13	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.05
Josh Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.04	23	52%	0.12	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02
Danuel House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	70%	0.14	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	43%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Peters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Alan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Davon Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	26.6	15.3	26.6	1.8	37.2	132.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +41.3%

SAC -4.1%

PHX +16.4%

SAC -5.4%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.4	14.8	14.7	94.9	99.0	107.5
season	15.4	14.2		102.9	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.7		111.8	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	17.4	13.8	12.5	14.4
PHX	14.9	14.7	15.0	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	42	43	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-7	11	14.0	14.7	-0.65	15.3	14.4	0.95
Bruno Caboclo	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-2	1	17.4	14.1	3.32	15.0	14.8	0.20
Bogdan Bogdanovic	77	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-6	9	14.0	16.0	-2.08	15.0	14.2	0.76
De'Aaron Fox	79	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.44	6	-9	15	13.7	17.3	-3.60	15.2	13.0	2.23
Nigel Hayes	44	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	9	-21	16.6	12.7	3.86	14.7	14.9	-0.24
Frank Mason	27	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	7	-17	16.4	13.7	2.68	13.7	15.2	-1.53
Justin Jackson	87	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-6	9	13.9	17.9	-3.97	15.0	13.3	1.74
Willie Cauley-Stein	78	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.53	1	-4	5	14.4	14.6	-0.19	14.4	16.5	-2.12
Buddy Hield	52	51	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	6	-15	14.0	14.9	-0.81	14.4	15.2	-0.80

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danuel House	59	59	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-9	21	14.5	15.3	-0.86	13.8	15.3	-1.51
Alex Len	64	67	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	-6	15	14.8	14.9	-0.15	14.4	14.5	-0.16
Josh Jackson	78	79	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	1	1	15.1	13.9	1.15	14.7	13.5	1.16
Davon Reed	20	21	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	-8	19	11.9	15.6	-3.60	16.7	13.8	2.85
Marquese Chriss	57	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	7	-11	15.8	13.4	2.41	13.6	15.5	-1.90
Alec Peters	22	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-2	7	14.5	14.9	-0.41	15.9	14.0	1.94
Shaquille Harrison	47	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	6	-9	14.6	15.0	-0.46	14.7	14.2	0.53
Tyler Ulis	76	76	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.34	-6	9	-15	14.8	14.9	-0.06	13.8	16.6	-2.85
Dragan Bender	44	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	-1	5	14.0	15.5	-1.56	15.2	13.7	1.52
Alan Williams	6	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	8	-13	19.5	14.5	4.99	13.0	14.5	-1.50
Troy Daniels	17	17	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	13	-23	16.8	14.4	2.43	14.0	14.5	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.76,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1,0.98,1,1	93.8%
DET 71, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.5%
LAL 80, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%