NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	5.3 [746]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +35.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	1.6 [788]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -7.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.22	0.01	0.08	19	82%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	18	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lavor Postell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	13	31%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	12	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.29	0.09	0.03	14	100%	0.35	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.11	-0.04	16	59%	0.21	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.05	-0.03	14	68%	0.18	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	9	42%	-0.04	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.04
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	14	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	28.3	15.4	22.5	2.5	32.5	124.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +2.1%

CLE +15.8%

CLE +13.8%

CLE +15.9%

CLE +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	16.7	15.6	110.0	114.3	102.3
season	15.9	15.8		99.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		106.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	14.1	16.3	14.0	15.1
CLE	16.7	17.2	18.0	15.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	19	19	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.26	12	-17	29	13.5	15.5	-1.97	16.8	16.7	0.07
Charlie Ward	32	31	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.25	9	-14	23	13.5	15.9	-2.45	15.5	17.4	-1.85
Lavor Postell	3	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	7.3	15.3	-8.01	16.7	16.7	-0.07
Clar. Weatherspoon	65	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.32	5	-10	15	14.8	15.7	-0.89	17.0	16.0	1.03
Latrell Sprewell	85	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-5	5	15.3	11.8	3.47	16.7	17.3	-0.64
Shandon Anderson	25	27	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	8	-21	15.1	15.1	0.00	17.3	16.5	0.74
Mark Jackson	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	7	-19	15.7	13.5	2.23	17.7	14.5	3.21
Kurt Thomas	81	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	3	-11	15.4	12.4	2.93	16.5	19.2	-2.76
Allan Houston	77	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.08	-17	12	-29	15.6	12.2	3.33	16.3	19.3	-2.99

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	52	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.29	11	-6	17	16.7	16.8	-0.16	16.0	13.8	2.18
Ricky Davis	54	52	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-1	7	15.6	18.4	-2.77	14.4	15.9	-1.51
Wesley Person	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	0	5	16.4	20.6	-4.15	15.1	15.2	-0.10
Andre Miller	85	84	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	3	-1	16.9	15.0	1.86	15.4	11.2	4.19
Jumaine Jones	33	33	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	0	5	15.2	17.6	-2.39	15.2	15.0	0.12
Tyrone Hill	63	62	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	6	-7	16.6	17.0	-0.33	15.0	15.2	-0.20
Lamond Murray	50	50	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	3	-1	18.3	14.9	3.43	15.3	14.8	0.46
Chris Mihm	35	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	10	-15	18.5	15.7	2.80	13.7	15.9	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 71, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.7%
LAL 101, PHX 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
MIN 90, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%