inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 109 Excitement6.9 [485] MVPYogi Ferrell (DAL): +27.9%
Dallas Mavericks 115 Comeback1.6 [260] LVPCJ McCollum (POR): -14.5%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Connaughton0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.040.004100%0.1300.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.020.005108%0.182-0.06250%-0.00
Damian Lillard0.060,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.060.100.010.062053%0.0600.0015100%0.07
Zach Collins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.04-0.00944%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Evan Turner-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%-0.0000.002100%0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.021338%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Caleb Swanigan-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Meyers Leonard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00650%0.052-0.0700%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic-0.040,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.040.02883%0.125-0.16250%-0.01
CJ McCollum-0.150,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15-0.08-0.070.001841%-0.073-0.08367%-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.130.150.00983%0.2800.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.020.07-0.021447%0.1100.00250%-0.02
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.040.00575%0.1000.00250%-0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.020.02875%0.0900.0000%0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.080.080.050.03-0.001656%0.091-0.0100%0.00
J.J. Barea0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.11-0.020.01983%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.02-0.041447%0.093-0.064100%0.04
Kyle Collinsworth00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02250%0.001-0.01650%-0.01
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.02737%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Aaron Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.02-0.01830%-0.041-0.00475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.41.621.215.326.02.039.2126.9
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +40.8%
POR -10.0%
POR -9.4%
DAL +28.6%
POR -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDALNBAPORDALNBA
this game13.514.414.7104.8112.7107.5
season15.215.4107.8105.3
opponent14.314.3108.1105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR14.714.813.411.713.5
DAL13.614.616.613.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caleb Swanigan54-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-4216.013.42.5916.514.32.15
Pat Connaughton4040-0.10-0.400.310.02-4-2-214.013.20.7514.414.40.03
Meyers Leonard3130-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-2-4213.513.50.0113.814.7-0.89
Jusuf Nurkic5657-0.17-0.330.15-0.201-7813.713.30.4215.313.31.96
Al-Farouq Aminu6969-0.22-0.280.05-0.251-7813.513.7-0.1814.414.5-0.17
Evan Turner5653-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.15-4-2-213.513.6-0.1614.414.5-0.11
Shabazz Napier5453-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.280-6612.914.2-1.2714.414.5-0.11
Damian Lillard7777-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.29-4-2-213.114.9-1.7714.115.5-1.39
Zach Collins4946-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.19-82-1014.612.62.0314.614.30.24
CJ McCollum8381-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.26-82-1013.314.4-1.0614.314.9-0.60

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Harrison57590.460.040.420.3151414.015.0-1.0612.714.6-1.95
Yogi Ferrell35380.390.110.280.139-31214.814.30.5215.212.62.59
Salah Mejri49510.360.140.230.2542213.615.2-1.6212.414.6-2.21
Maxi Kleber68690.350.150.190.3215-414.614.20.3813.014.7-1.73
Doug McDermott33340.290.210.080.1742213.315.0-1.6712.614.0-1.46
Harrison Barnes69700.210.29-0.080.1524-215.013.31.6714.012.61.46
Dwight Powell38380.150.35-0.190.0442214.314.5-0.2314.912.82.10
Dirk Nowitzki49500.130.37-0.230.0533015.213.71.4914.512.71.81
Dennis Smith Jr.65640.110.39-0.280.20-39-1214.015.1-1.1012.615.1-2.50
Kyle Collinsworth450.020.48-0.46-0.0424-216.514.32.1516.013.42.59
J.J. Barea43420.020.48-0.460.05-17-815.213.91.3014.413.01.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 96, IND 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,194.1%
CHA 73, NOH 890.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.93,1,1,193.7%
MIL 81, PHX 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,193.4%