NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	108		Excitement	4.6 [932]		MVP	Ish Smith (DET): +19.8%
Brooklyn Nets	96		Comeback	1.3 [754]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): -5.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ish Smith	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.03	-0.00	8	94%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	11	61%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	41%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	22	51%	0.09	5	-0.09	13	85%	0.02
Eric Moreland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	10	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	9	68%	0.09	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	56%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	60%	0.06	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	42%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	48%	-0.00	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	24.3	14.5	31.6	0.7	34.3	132.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +23.7%

DET +2.6%

DET +17.6%

DET +3.0%

DET +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BKN	NBA	DET	BKN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	14.7	110.2	98.0	107.5
season	14.9	14.7		106.4	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.7		109.4	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.8	15.8	16.6	13.6	15.1
BKN	12.9	14.2	15.4	14.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	72	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-4	20	14.8	15.9	-1.04	14.1	14.8	-0.76
Anthony Tolliver	68	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-1	14	14.6	16.3	-1.70	14.3	14.1	0.19
Ish Smith	36	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	5	2	13.8	15.9	-2.08	14.5	14.1	0.40
Eric Moreland	46	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	8	-4	14.8	15.4	-0.56	14.8	13.8	1.02
Reggie Bullock	72	70	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	9	-6	15.8	13.2	2.68	14.4	14.0	0.42
Luke Kennard	48	50	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	10	-8	15.2	15.1	0.13	15.1	13.4	1.66
Andre Drummond	51	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	6	0	15.6	14.6	1.09	13.9	14.7	-0.76
Reggie Jackson	66	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	4	4	15.3	14.7	0.60	13.6	15.6	-2.02
Henry Ellenson	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	11	-10	15.8	14.8	1.05	13.9	14.4	-0.48

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	20	20	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.25	10	-22	32	15.6	13.9	1.68	14.8	15.2	-0.34
Quincy Acy	9	8	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-17	22	15.4	14.1	1.30	18.4	14.8	3.54
Jarrett Allen	64	64	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-16	20	12.9	16.8	-3.87	15.7	13.9	1.81
Spencer Dinwiddie	24	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.05	-5	-7	2	14.7	14.1	0.64	15.6	15.0	0.67
DeMarre Carroll	50	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-11	10	13.6	15.0	-1.40	16.4	13.7	2.69
Caris LeVert	64	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-11	10	15.1	12.6	2.48	15.1	15.1	0.07
Allen Crabbe	43	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	13.7	14.7	-1.09	15.7	14.7	0.97
Joe Harris	60	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	14.6	13.8	0.82	14.5	16.1	-1.54
Dante Cunningham	36	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	5	-22	16.5	13.0	3.58	13.2	16.2	-3.05
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	62	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	6	-24	14.0	14.6	-0.59	14.8	15.8	-1.01
D'Angelo Russell	58	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.08	-20	8	-28	13.5	15.4	-1.87	14.5	16.1	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
NOP 100, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
IND 83, NOH 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%