NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	100		Excitement	3.7 [1058]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +12.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	1.1 [1268]		LVP	Adreian Payne (MIN): -10.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	14	67%	0.13	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.03
Tyreke Evans	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	14	65%	0.15	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	14	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	29%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.05	7	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.01
Arinze Onuaku	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	90%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	9	61%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	24	44%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Justin Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	16	37%	-0.07	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	33.7	15.4	28.1	1.8	30.2	132.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +31.6%

NOP +10.1%

NOP +5.6%

NOP +0.6%

NOP +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIN	NBA	NOP	MIN	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.1	111.1	96.7	104.2
season	15.8	15.0		106.3	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		110.5	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.6	14.6	15.0	19.6	16.4
MIN	16.1	17.3	15.0	13.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	56	57	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-5	22	16.0	17.1	-1.16	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Anthony Davis	65	67	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-2	16	16.6	16.1	0.47	15.6	15.0	0.55
Quincy Pondexter	45	46	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-5	22	16.2	16.6	-0.44	15.4	15.4	-0.07
Omer Asik	45	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-5	22	16.4	16.4	0.04	15.0	15.8	-0.75
Tyreke Evans	57	59	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	1	10	16.7	15.9	0.86	15.4	15.4	0.00
Ryan Anderson	36	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	11	-10	16.3	16.5	-0.15	15.7	15.2	0.43
Norris Cole	37	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	13	-14	16.1	16.6	-0.49	16.1	14.9	1.18
Toney Douglas	30	29	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.13	-3	15	-18	17.0	16.1	0.87	15.2	15.5	-0.34
Dante Cunningham	45	45	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	17	-22	16.6	16.2	0.44	15.4	15.4	0.07
Alexis Ajinca	34	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.15	-8	20	-28	16.2	16.5	-0.30	15.4	15.4	-0.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arinze Onuaku	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-13	14	14.0	16.1	-2.15	19.0	15.2	3.85
Robbie Hummel	61	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-13	14	15.3	15.7	-0.44	17.1	15.1	2.03
Lorenzo Brown	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-11	10	15.3	15.5	-0.21	17.1	15.7	1.32
Justin Hamilton	53	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-7	2	15.6	15.1	0.47	15.8	17.3	-1.55
Chase Budinger	57	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	15.9	14.6	1.26	16.2	16.7	-0.50
Zach LaVine	86	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-1	-10	15.2	18.6	-3.38	16.2	19.8	-3.58
Adreian Payne	38	39	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	9	-30	16.5	14.6	1.88	14.3	18.0	-3.73
Andrew Wiggins	84	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	3	-18	15.3	16.3	-0.95	16.4	16.7	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 121, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
UTA 120, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
CHA 96, ATL 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%