NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	96		Excitement	3.8 [1046]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): +9.7%
Atlanta Hawks	75		Comeback	1.1 [621]		LVP	Walter Herrmann (CHA): -6.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	12	81%	0.19	5	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Adam Morrison	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	18	53%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	12	53%	0.08	3	-0.07	10	40%	-0.08
Jeff McInnis	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	11	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Walter Herrmann	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	18	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	15	41%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Slava Medvedenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dijon Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	11	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.8	31.0	15.6	24.3	2.5	26.5	131.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +41.2%

ATL -8.5%

CHA +24.3%

ATL -10.3%

CHA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	18.1	15.4	15.4	111.6	87.2	104.5
season	15.7	16.1		101.7	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.4	14.2	20.2	20.1	18.1
ATL	15.9	16.5	13.4	15.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	2	17	17.7	19.5	-1.87	16.0	13.2	2.85
Emeka Okafor	63	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	3	15	18.2	17.8	0.33	15.6	14.9	0.77
Gerald Wallace	56	55	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	8	5	18.3	17.6	0.77	15.3	15.6	-0.25
Matt Carroll	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	10	1	18.0	18.2	-0.14	15.1	16.2	-1.03
Adam Morrison	56	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	3	15	17.2	19.7	-2.50	15.5	15.2	0.30
Derek Anderson	52	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	7	7	18.7	17.1	1.62	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Walter Herrmann	24	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.13	9	12	-3	17.7	18.2	-0.44	15.9	15.2	0.63
Jake Voskuhl	23	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	18	-15	17.8	18.2	-0.33	14.9	15.6	-0.77
Ryan Hollins	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	21	-21	19.5	17.4	2.11	14.3	15.9	-1.54

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	13.0	15.5	-2.48	19.5	18.0	1.46
Dijon Thompson	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-24	27	14.5	15.5	-1.04	19.7	17.9	1.84
Solomon Jones	8	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-19	17	15.2	15.4	-0.19	21.3	17.8	3.50
Shelden Williams	37	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-17	13	15.0	15.7	-0.69	18.6	17.7	0.98
Salim Stoudamire	26	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-16	11	16.1	15.1	0.94	17.6	18.3	-0.75
Lorenzen Wright	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-11	1	15.4	15.4	0.01	17.1	18.5	-1.43
Zaza Pachulia	32	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-17	13	15.2	15.6	-0.37	17.5	18.4	-0.85
Royal Ivey	30	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-11	1	15.9	15.2	0.69	18.1	18.1	0.05
Marvin Williams	59	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-13	5	15.3	15.6	-0.25	19.1	16.0	3.07
Josh Childress	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.08	-17	-4	-13	15.3	15.9	-0.54	17.7	19.9	-2.18
Joe Johnson	62	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.24	-23	2	-25	15.7	14.8	0.87	18.2	17.7	0.47
Josh Smith	65	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.22	-25	4	-29	15.5	15.3	0.18	17.4	20.0	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 132, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
NOP 100, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.8%
BOS 99, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0	95.8%