inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 105 Excitement8.0 [274] MVPMarcus Morris (BOS): +44.2%
Portland Trail Blazers 100 Comeback10.9 [60] LVPPat Connaughton (POR): -15.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Morris0.440,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.440.280.190.021391%0.461-0.027100%0.04
Terry Rozier0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.170.020.160.021447%0.1700.006100%0.09
Al Horford0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.06-0.00769%0.143-0.07250%-0.05
Aron Baynes0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00853%0.0400.001100%0.00
Shane Larkin0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00756%0.081-0.052100%0.02
Jayson Tatum0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.02,0.02-0.050.06-0.021146%0.113-0.08683%0.02
Abdel Nader-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Guerschon Yabusele-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.030.00462%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Semi Ojeleye-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.00950%0.024-0.102100%0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ McCollum0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.280.280.100.17-0.012258%0.301-0.021100%0.01
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00267%0.0200.002100%0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.060.001267%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.03-0.00643%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0,-0.07,-0.04-0.040.05-0.090.012254%0.122-0.164100%0.03
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.050.01750%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.060.01955%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Zach Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.13-0.02-0.00817%-0.102-0.05250%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.52.526.014.725.52.436.5128.0
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +51.4%
BOS +23.7%
POR -19.6%
POR -4.1%
POR -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSPORNBABOSPORNBA
this game16.114.614.7111.7106.4107.5
season15.115.2106.4107.8
opponent14.314.7105.7103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS17.014.518.714.316.1
POR15.012.114.717.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Larkin68680.87-0.371.230.4614-92315.417.7-2.3214.415.1-0.68
Jayson Tatum63630.59-0.090.690.368-31115.816.6-0.7914.614.50.10
Marcus Morris69700.340.160.190.37-16-716.116.00.0713.816.7-2.91
Greg Monroe39380.280.220.06-0.0411-61716.016.1-0.0915.014.30.74
Guerschon Yabusele31310.250.25-0.00-0.0711-61716.016.1-0.1316.113.82.26
Terry Rozier66670.230.27-0.050.40-611-1715.916.4-0.4814.315.2-0.89
Al Horford63650.190.31-0.120.37-611-1715.916.4-0.5014.315.1-0.80
Semi Ojeleye23210.130.37-0.24-0.108-31115.616.2-0.6516.814.02.80
Abdel Nader1312-0.060.56-0.63-0.00-27-917.515.81.7214.714.60.19
Aron Baynes3535-0.320.82-1.140.03-1217-2918.214.83.4214.114.8-0.70

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jusuf Nurkic54530.33-0.831.150.069-142314.414.8-0.3715.816.4-0.55
Al-Farouq Aminu6564-0.19-0.310.12-0.376-111714.315.1-0.8015.916.3-0.41
Damian Lillard7575-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.301-6714.614.50.0716.215.40.86
Ed Davis3333-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.01-94-1314.814.50.3116.615.70.90
Zach Collins2930-0.31-0.19-0.120.01-116-1715.114.30.8016.315.90.41
Pat Connaughton4445-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-149-2315.513.81.7615.516.5-1.00
CJ McCollum7270-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.484-91314.614.7-0.1316.315.31.02
Maurice Harkless5556-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.430-5513.915.5-1.5915.616.7-1.15
Evan Turner4344-0.670.17-0.85-0.35-116-1714.514.6-0.0916.315.80.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.45,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.33,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 101, MIL 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.7,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.78,0.55,0.46,0.32,0.04,091.4%
CHI 95, MIL 870.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.09,091.4%
CHI 103, HOU 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.23,0.01,091.2%