NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	6.2 [613]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +33.6%
New York Knicks	104		Comeback	3.0 [685]		LVP	Jeff Teague (MIN): -14.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.08	-0.01	8	85%	0.25	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.01	14	73%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	8	75%	0.16	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Tyus Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Gorgui Dieng	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	3	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	14	46%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	15	47%	0.10	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	13	33%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.34	0.34	0.23	0.12	0.01	25	68%	0.36	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	7	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	0.06	11	58%	-0.01	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	28.2	14.7	30.3	2.3	33.6	136.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +37.7%

MIN +17.3%

MIN +3.6%

NYK -9.9%

MIN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	14.7	111.3	106.1	107.5
season	15.3	14.9		111.8	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		109.3	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.6	15.4	15.0	18.5	15.3
NYK	16.9	14.0	13.3	12.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	75	76	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-10	24	15.4	15.0	0.40	14.6	13.0	1.59
Tyus Jones	28	29	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.14	18	-14	32	14.5	15.6	-1.14	17.0	13.1	3.98
Gorgui Dieng	24	25	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-10	24	13.1	16.0	-2.90	17.8	13.0	4.73
Jamal Crawford	50	50	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-4	12	14.8	15.8	-0.97	15.2	13.2	1.97
Andrew Wiggins	79	78	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	6	-8	14.8	17.7	-2.96	13.8	15.8	-1.97
Karl-Anthony Towns	83	83	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	9	-14	16.1	10.8	5.29	13.4	18.7	-5.31
Taj Gibson	77	80	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.29	-13	17	-30	15.9	12.8	3.10	13.4	17.8	-4.41
Jeff Teague	69	69	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.24	-14	18	-32	15.6	14.5	1.14	13.1	17.0	-3.98

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	70	68	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.24	18	-22	40	13.5	16.2	-2.72	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Trey Burke	63	62	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.32	17	-21	38	12.4	17.5	-5.01	17.0	12.3	4.78
Michael Beasley	52	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.26	6	-10	16	13.3	15.3	-1.97	17.2	13.0	4.27
Emmanuel Mudiay	10	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	4	-12	17.1	13.9	3.19	13.5	15.5	-2.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	76	76	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-9	14	13.6	16.5	-2.98	14.8	17.3	-2.52
Troy Williams	42	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-1	-2	14.8	13.8	0.92	14.8	15.7	-0.87
Luke Kornet	46	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	6	-16	15.3	13.3	1.97	13.0	17.2	-4.27
Frank Ntilikina	77	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.54	2	-6	8	14.5	13.1	1.45	15.2	15.8	-0.66
Courtney Lee	26	27	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.09	-25	21	-46	17.7	13.0	4.65	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Kyle O'Quinn	28	29	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.14	-22	18	-40	16.2	13.5	2.72	15.4	15.2	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.37,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.03,0.14,0.01,0.01,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 114, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.22,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	91.4%
ORL 102, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.44,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0	91.1%
HOU 127, PHX 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.2,0.11,0.03,0,0	90.7%