NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	102		Excitement	6.8 [359]		MVP	JJ Redick (ORL): +23.4%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	2.5 [617]		LVP	Nick Young (WAS): -9.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.00	8	79%	0.23	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.10	0.01	14	66%	0.26	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Glen Davis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.09	-0.02	8	60%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	12	50%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Liggins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	2	75%	0.06	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	13	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	48%	0.06	4	-0.14	11	55%	-0.08

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.04	-0.02	25	55%	0.17	1	-0.00	10	70%	-0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.08	-0.05	8	44%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	9	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	18	47%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	32.3	16.4	23.2	1.8	36.3	137.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +49.4%

ORL +5.0%

ORL +10.9%

WAS -14.5%

WAS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.6	117.2	108.0	102.8
season	16.2	15.0		102.8	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.8		104.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.3	17.3	17.4	17.2	16.5
WAS	17.0	14.8	17.7	16.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	59	57	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-4	15	16.1	17.4	-1.33	16.8	15.7	1.05
Hedo Turkoglu	58	57	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.13	13	-6	19	16.0	17.5	-1.48	16.9	15.5	1.35
Ryan Anderson	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-5	17	16.7	15.9	0.71	16.3	16.8	-0.51
Glen Davis	37	39	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.30	1	6	-5	16.7	16.4	0.32	16.6	16.2	0.40
Jason Richardson	55	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	2	3	16.4	16.6	-0.21	16.5	16.3	0.19
JJ Redick	33	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	5	-3	16.4	16.6	-0.21	16.3	16.5	-0.19
Dwight Howard	69	70	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	6	-5	16.4	17.0	-0.64	16.4	16.4	-0.03
DeAndre Liggins	29	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	13	-19	17.5	16.0	1.48	15.5	16.9	-1.35
Chris Duhon	28	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	11	-15	17.4	16.1	1.33	15.7	16.8	-1.05

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	16	15	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.08	9	-16	25	13.8	17.0	-3.19	16.1	16.6	-0.52
Jan Vesely	13	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-8	9	12.2	17.1	-4.92	15.3	16.7	-1.35
Kevin Seraphin	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	-2	-3	18.0	15.6	2.36	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Shelvin Mack	10	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-4	1	10.9	17.1	-6.23	15.4	16.6	-1.17
Chris Singleton	65	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-6	5	16.4	16.3	0.10	16.8	15.3	1.49
Jordan Crawford	52	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	0	-7	18.1	14.1	4.00	16.9	16.0	0.89
Nick Young	35	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	14.2	17.9	-3.64	16.8	16.3	0.53
Trevor Booker	71	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	0	-7	17.2	13.2	4.02	16.8	15.4	1.42
John Wall	78	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	17.1	10.9	6.23	16.6	15.4	1.17
Maurice Evans	42	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.32	-3	-4	1	15.8	17.0	-1.17	16.4	16.6	-0.17
JaVale McGee	29	28	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	5	-17	16.8	16.2	0.56	15.7	16.8	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.44,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 103, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.01,0,0,0	91.4%
LAL 122, HOU 116	0.5,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.57,0.43,0.45,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	91.3%
CHI 114, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.05,0	91.2%