NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	127		Excitement	7.1 [394]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +37.4%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	2.9 [342]		LVP	Marcus Morris (PHX): -13.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.37	0.18	0.20	0.00	23	67%	0.51	5	-0.13	14	79%	0.01
Josh Smith	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.09	-0.02	15	61%	0.23	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Kostas Papanikolaou	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	12	54%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Donatas Motiejunas	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.07	0.04	19	63%	0.21	3	-0.06	13	92%	0.04
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.00	11	77%	0.15	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	15	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	8	17%	-0.12	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	3.5	37.0	18.5	26.2	0.2	31.3	146.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +55.6%

PHX -7.4%

HOU +12.5%

PHX -9.0%

PHX -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	13.5	15.1	124.5	115.7	104.2
season	14.3	14.4		105.6	103.7
opponent	15.0	14.9		104.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.4	15.0	14.5	17.3	14.7
PHX	14.3	10.7	15.5	14.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	58	58	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-3	15	15.1	14.3	0.73	12.7	14.5	-1.76
Josh Smith	70	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-4	17	14.9	14.4	0.48	13.5	13.5	0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou	43	44	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	0	9	14.5	14.9	-0.39	14.2	12.9	1.32
James Harden	91	90	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-7	23	14.7	14.7	0.01	13.6	12.5	1.13
Jason Terry	41	42	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	1	7	14.2	15.1	-0.86	12.3	14.3	-2.02
Donatas Motiejunas	35	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	9	-9	14.1	15.0	-0.90	13.9	13.3	0.64
Patrick Beverley	62	61	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	10	-11	15.0	14.3	0.72	14.2	12.5	1.73
Trevor Ariza	75	75	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	16	-23	14.8	14.6	0.19	13.3	14.1	-0.78
Joey Dorsey	35	36	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.08	-5	14	-19	14.8	14.7	0.06	13.7	13.4	0.30

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	38	39	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.03	7	-16	23	13.6	13.5	0.08	15.4	14.3	1.13
Gerald Green	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-14	19	11.9	14.0	-2.05	15.7	14.4	1.27
Markieff Morris	68	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-9	9	13.6	13.3	0.31	15.0	14.2	0.75
Eric Bledsoe	83	83	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-12	15	13.4	13.8	-0.42	15.3	12.1	3.30
PJ Tucker	83	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	13.7	12.6	1.13	14.3	16.4	-2.13
Brandan Wright	22	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	5	-19	15.1	13.1	2.03	12.0	15.4	-3.44
Goran Dragic	79	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	2	-13	13.6	13.3	0.25	14.8	14.4	0.47
Marcus Morris	47	48	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.20	-15	6	-21	13.9	13.2	0.65	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Isaiah Thomas	67	65	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.35	-13	4	-17	12.9	14.6	-1.72	14.5	15.1	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.2,0.11,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 103, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.01,0,0,0	91.0%
ORL 102, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.44,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0	90.9%
MIN 108, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.37,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.03,0.14,0.01,0.01,0.05,0	90.7%