inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 125 Excitement9.0 [147] MVPAnthony Davis (NOP): +32.0%
New Orleans Pelicans 128 Comeback9.3 [176] LVPLonzo Ball (LAL): -52.8%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.280,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.280.250.050.021587%0.321-0.042100%0.01
Brook Lopez0.250,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.150.120.011279%0.302-0.05580%0.01
Kyle Kuzma0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.150.020.011171%0.171-0.01989%0.02
Julius Randle0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.060.050.020.011657%0.122-0.07862%-0.02
Ivica Zubac0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Travis Wear-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.04-0.00560%0.021-0.0500%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.001258%0.096-0.162100%0.01
Lonzo Ball-0.530,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.53-0.20-0.37-0.051519%-0.493-0.03250%-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.320.320.190.150.022066%0.3200.001090%0.06
Jrue Holiday0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.180.050.021674%0.2100.00333%-0.04
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.040.011065%0.1000.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.27,0.18,0.060.060.08-0.010.021865%0.143-0.081100%0.01
Ian Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.02-0.001059%0.0400.002100%0.01
Darius Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.00658%0.0300.0000%0.00
Solomon Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Cheick Diallo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00233%-0.0300.002100%0.02
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.00333%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.040.00728%-0.092-0.04475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.329.014.826.51.730.0129.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +18.4%
LAL -3.3%
NOP +22.3%
NOP +5.0%
NOP +7.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALNOPNBALALNOPNBA
this game13.613.014.7116.8116.4107.5
season13.713.6105.7108.0
opponent14.614.8107.0107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL12.313.113.116.213.6
NOP12.113.113.613.213.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Wear3131-0.08-0.420.35-0.02-2-1-112.514.0-1.4712.513.2-0.62
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope9598-0.11-0.390.28-0.4612-152713.216.6-3.4013.310.82.42
Ivica Zubac1514-0.13-0.370.240.08-74-1112.713.7-0.9610.413.4-3.02
Julius Randle7780-0.17-0.330.15-0.387-101713.713.10.6413.611.42.14
Isaiah Thomas5961-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.11-74-1113.114.1-1.0612.613.5-0.90
Lonzo Ball100101-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.36-2-1-113.416.0-2.6113.013.2-0.25
Brook Lopez6568-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.35-41-514.312.41.9012.913.1-0.21
Kyle Kuzma9397-0.800.30-1.10-0.45-129-2114.29.05.2513.112.20.86

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cheick Diallo40410.86-0.361.210.4813-102313.112.90.1314.513.01.50
Rajon Rondo72680.82-0.321.150.4413-102312.613.8-1.2214.412.12.29
Anthony Davis84810.78-0.281.070.3714-112512.514.5-2.0314.610.44.14
E'Twaun Moore67630.63-0.130.770.437-41112.713.4-0.6614.112.81.34
Jrue Holiday71680.280.220.050.33-25-713.112.70.4214.012.71.33
DeAndre Liggins13130.070.43-0.36-0.0230312.713.0-0.3412.413.7-1.34
Ian Clark5353-0.040.54-0.570.02-25-713.412.60.8212.714.4-1.71
Darius Miller3638-0.090.59-0.68-0.03-25-712.213.4-1.1013.013.9-0.87
Solomon Hill3029-0.100.60-0.710.10-710-1713.612.70.8812.014.2-2.19
Nikola Mirotic3635-0.260.76-1.010.04-1013-2314.412.32.0811.914.3-2.40
Emeka Okafor4846-0.450.95-1.41-0.10-1215-2713.212.80.4612.314.5-2.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.22,0.38,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.15,0.55,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 102, NOP 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.41,192.0%
ATL 86, TOR 870.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.57,0.42,190.9%
POR 107, MIN 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.58,190.4%