NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	9.3 [120]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (MIN): +78.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	10.7 [178]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -36.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.19	0.05	0.14	-0.00	17	59%	0.24	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	12	77%	0.23	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Shabazz Napier	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	-0.00	8	83%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	6	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	12	54%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.36	-0.11	-0.24	0.01	18	46%	-0.14	6	-0.22	1	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.78	0.78	0.23	0.59	0.04	21	69%	0.78	0	0.00	12	92%	0.33
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	0.00	16	68%	0.27	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.00	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	14	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	13	50%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.12	0.02	15	47%	-0.01	4	-0.19	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	24.5	14.8	27.2	2.5	34.3	128.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -68.1%

MIN +81.9%

MIN +17.0%

MIN +11.1%

MIN +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	14.7	111.5	114.9	107.5
season	15.2	15.3		107.8	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		110.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.1	15.9	13.2	17.4	15.1
MIN	16.6	14.8	14.5	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Collins	40	39	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.14	8	-9	17	15.6	14.7	0.86	16.0	14.7	1.25
Ed Davis	38	37	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.10	7	-8	15	15.6	14.7	0.92	16.1	14.7	1.38
Pat Connaughton	10	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.00	3	-4	7	15.2	15.1	0.14	17.0	15.1	1.94
Shabazz Napier	38	38	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-2	3	15.3	14.9	0.45	14.3	15.9	-1.52
CJ McCollum	71	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	2	-5	15.8	12.9	2.97	15.5	14.4	1.13
Damian Lillard	77	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.54	-3	2	-5	14.4	17.8	-3.45	15.1	16.0	-0.95
Al-Farouq Aminu	74	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.58	-2	1	-3	14.4	17.2	-2.74	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Evan Turner	74	71	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.47	-8	7	-15	15.2	14.5	0.74	15.4	14.7	0.73
Jusuf Nurkic	58	57	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.57	-8	7	-15	14.7	15.6	-0.92	14.7	16.1	-1.38

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	71	71	1.00	-0.50	1.51	0.56	15	-14	29	14.9	16.4	-1.58	15.1	14.9	0.26
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	80	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.53	8	-7	15	15.3	15.1	0.12	15.5	12.9	2.56
Jeff Teague	75	77	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.54	3	-2	5	15.1	16.0	-0.95	14.4	17.8	-3.45
Jamal Crawford	41	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	2	-3	15.5	15.0	0.52	16.1	14.3	1.81
Andrew Wiggins	67	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.54	-3	4	-7	15.2	15.3	-0.12	14.0	17.9	-3.92
Marcus Georges-Hunt	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	5	-9	16.9	15.0	1.95	17.9	14.6	3.30
Tyus Jones	19	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	3	-5	16.0	15.1	0.95	17.8	14.4	3.45
Taj Gibson	69	71	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.13	-3	4	-7	14.7	16.7	-1.96	14.2	17.4	-3.20
Gorgui Dieng	35	37	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.13	-8	9	-17	16.1	14.7	1.39	15.5	14.8	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.55,0.58,1	92.2%
MIA 102, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.41,1	92.0%
OKC 96, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.44,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.58,1	91.9%