NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	2.6 [1243]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (PHI): +14.7%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	1.1 [1172]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (ORL): -9.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.01	-0.02	11	78%	0.15	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.01	11	65%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Dario Saric	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	6	42%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.01	0.04	8	57%	0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Demetrius Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	60%	0.02	4	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	10	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Robert Covington	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.01	0.09	12	58%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Purvis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	0.00	0.09	12	79%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jamel Artis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	19%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	11	32%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	15	32%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	9	27%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	31.4	14.8	26.1	2.4	24.9	124.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +17.1%

PHI +15.1%

PHI +10.9%

PHI +4.5%

PHI +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	12.5	15.1	14.7	111.3	95.1	107.5
season	13.9	14.6		108.1	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.3	13.0	10.3	15.6	12.5
ORL	16.0	14.2	17.4	12.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	46	42	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	5	10	12.7	12.4	0.37	16.0	14.4	1.65
JJ Redick	39	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.41	26	-6	32	11.5	13.1	-1.57	15.8	14.7	1.10
Joel Embiid	46	45	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.41	24	-4	28	11.6	13.3	-1.70	15.5	14.8	0.71
Justin Anderson	33	32	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	19	-18	13.2	12.2	0.95	15.5	14.9	0.63
Ben Simmons	62	59	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.41	23	-3	26	11.3	14.2	-2.87	15.2	14.9	0.32
T.J. McConnell	44	44	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	23	-26	14.2	11.3	2.87	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Amir Johnson	30	30	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	12	-4	11.1	13.1	-1.95	17.1	14.2	2.91
Robert Covington	60	59	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.41	21	-1	22	11.3	14.1	-2.72	15.3	14.8	0.52
Marco Belinelli	53	51	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.33	-6	26	-32	12.5	12.5	-0.04	14.7	15.4	-0.64
Dario Saric	51	51	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.20	11	9	2	11.9	13.1	-1.24	14.6	15.5	-0.95
Richaun Holmes	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	30	-40	15.6	11.5	4.04	12.6	15.9	-3.26
Furkan Korkmaz	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	30	-40	15.6	11.5	4.04	12.6	15.9	-3.26
Demetrius Jackson	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	15.4	12.1	3.26	14.4	15.2	-0.82

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-20	20	14.4	15.2	-0.82	15.4	12.1	3.26
Jamel Artis	25	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-30	40	12.6	15.9	-3.26	15.6	11.5	4.04
Rodney Purvis	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.39	7	-27	34	14.1	15.9	-1.77	14.3	11.1	3.26
Wes Iwundu	63	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.40	-20	0	-20	15.2	14.9	0.32	11.8	13.6	-1.80
Mario Hezonja	53	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.38	-21	1	-22	15.9	14.2	1.76	11.4	13.8	-2.38
Aaron Gordon	59	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.23	-16	-4	-12	16.2	13.6	2.54	11.3	14.1	-2.79
Shelvin Mack	32	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-18	16	14.3	15.4	-1.14	14.1	11.8	2.31
Nikola Vucevic	50	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.49	-25	5	-30	15.5	14.6	0.92	10.7	14.3	-3.64
Bismack Biyombo	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-25	30	14.7	15.3	-0.56	13.9	11.7	2.28
D.J. Augustin	57	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.27	-18	-2	-16	15.7	14.3	1.38	11.0	14.5	-3.52
Khem Birch	44	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-16	12	13.6	16.2	-2.54	14.1	11.3	2.79
Arron Afflalo	32	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	-4	-12	16.4	14.5	1.99	12.0	12.8	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, ATL 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
DET 84, NJN 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
NYK 86, NOH 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%