NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	129		Excitement	7.6 [347]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +48.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	132		Comeback	9.4 [161]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (CLE): -12.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.30	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3	0.25	0.06	0.02	10	100%	0.30	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Delon Wright	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.09	-0.00	6	86%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.02	6	100%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12	0.02	0.07	-0.02	9	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	13	61%	0.23	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.02	-0.00	13	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	15	52%	0.09	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Norman Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	33%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.41,0.48	0.48	0.23	0.28	0.03	19	67%	0.48	0	0.00	14	86%	0.07
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.17	0.03	15	68%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
George Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.09	0.01	11	100%	0.37	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.01	6	83%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	7	100%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	9	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Ante Zizic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
John Holland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	7	29%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	27.2	15.5	29.3	2.7	40.1	142.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +44.6%

CLE +4.2%

CLE +5.9%

TOR -6.2%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	14.7	135.8	140.4	107.5
season	14.6	14.8		112.7	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.0	15.3	15.7	15.1	15.5
CLE	14.7	16.7	13.1	15.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	19	18	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.06	6	-9	15	17.5	15.0	2.43	16.7	14.5	2.13
Delon Wright	39	37	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.12	12	-15	27	16.7	14.7	1.98	15.9	14.3	1.56
Jonas Valanciunas	43	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-9	15	14.4	16.4	-1.98	13.9	15.8	-1.96
OG Anunoby	32	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	2	-7	15.6	15.5	0.05	13.8	15.6	-1.74
Serge Ibaka	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	3	-9	14.3	16.8	-2.52	13.8	16.2	-2.36
Pascal Siakam	49	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	0	-3	16.4	14.6	1.86	16.1	13.8	2.32
Jakob Poeltl	50	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	3	-9	16.8	14.1	2.77	15.9	14.0	1.98
Fred VanVleet	56	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.52	0	-3	3	15.3	15.9	-0.63	15.5	14.2	1.28
Kyle Lowry	65	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	6	-15	15.1	16.5	-1.47	14.9	15.0	-0.08
DeMar DeRozan	73	72	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.41	-10	7	-17	14.9	17.5	-2.51	14.2	17.5	-3.33

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	79	79	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.46	12	-9	21	14.5	17.5	-3.08	15.4	16.1	-0.72
Kevin Love	61	60	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-1	5	14.6	15.5	-0.92	15.0	16.3	-1.29
JR Smith	50	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	0	3	15.5	14.3	1.27	15.8	15.2	0.60
Jeff Green	76	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-1	5	15.1	14.3	0.83	15.7	14.9	0.73
George Hill	73	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.41	3	0	3	14.6	16.1	-1.48	15.0	17.1	-2.10
Jose Calderon	53	54	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.13	8	-5	13	14.8	15.1	-0.22	15.8	15.1	0.71
Ante Zizic	28	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	1	1	15.5	14.7	0.74	16.2	15.2	0.98
Jordan Clarkson	38	39	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	13	-23	15.8	14.4	1.46	16.2	15.0	1.20
John Holland	12	12	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	14	-25	14.8	15.0	-0.13	14.2	15.7	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.71,0.95,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 81, NOH 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.73,1	90.9%
ORL 93, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.4,0.64,0.84,1,1	90.6%
CLE 83, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.55,0.76,0.96,1	90.1%