NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	7.6 [362]		MVP	Denzel Valentine (CHI): +33.4%
Chicago Bulls	109		Comeback	1.1 [1043]		LVP	Antonio Blakeney (CHI): -9.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.33,0.33	0.13	0.20	0.00	13	66%	0.33	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
LeBron James	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.02	26	59%	0.31	6	-0.15	4	25%	-0.04
Jeff Green	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	14	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	6	69%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ante Zizic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	74%	0.12	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
John Holland	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
London Perrantes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	0.00	7	31%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33	0.33	0.31	0.06	0.04	20	85%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.00	9	61%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.08	0.02	11	59%	0.21	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	38%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	14	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	24.3	14.6	25.5	2.5	31.5	125.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +36.6%

CLE +4.4%

CHI -5.1%

CLE +9.2%

CLE +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	13.5	14.7	117.5	114.7	107.5
season	14.8	14.2		111.2	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.7		110.2	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	15.9	17.4	17.0	16.5
CHI	13.8	14.1	13.1	13.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	67	65	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.47	14	-9	23	16.0	17.6	-1.60	13.2	14.2	-0.97
Jose Calderon	74	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	-1	7	15.8	18.7	-2.87	13.8	12.5	1.36
Jordan Clarkson	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	4	-3	17.5	14.8	2.68	13.6	13.3	0.28
John Holland	21	22	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	-10	25	13.4	17.3	-3.93	14.3	13.3	1.06
Jeff Green	88	84	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.46	-4	9	-13	17.0	11.2	5.78	13.2	16.1	-2.92
LeBron James	80	79	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.27	-4	9	-13	16.4	16.8	-0.36	13.7	12.6	1.13
JR Smith	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	2	1	17.3	15.9	1.41	14.2	12.9	1.29
London Perrantes	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	15.3	16.6	-1.25	13.9	13.5	0.40
Ante Zizic	43	41	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.01	-6	11	-17	17.0	16.1	0.92	12.3	14.4	-2.05

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	35	39	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-8	11	13.3	13.6	-0.30	15.4	17.2	-1.81
Denzel Valentine	75	78	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.43	14	-19	33	13.1	15.1	-2.02	16.6	15.7	0.90
Jerian Grant	30	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-2	-1	13.7	13.4	0.24	18.1	15.7	2.35
Paul Zipser	48	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.45	9	-14	23	13.2	13.8	-0.56	15.7	17.3	-1.64
Cameron Payne	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-3	1	13.4	13.7	-0.24	15.7	18.1	-2.35
David Nwaba	39	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	6	-17	14.6	12.7	1.84	17.1	16.0	1.09
Cristiano Felicio	61	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	8	-21	13.1	14.2	-1.09	16.8	15.9	0.83
Antonio Blakeney	54	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	7	-19	13.8	13.2	0.59	16.7	16.1	0.62
Bobby Portis	68	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	5	-15	13.8	12.8	1.02	16.6	16.1	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.27,0.45,0.11,0.16,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.13,0.09,0.02,0	92.8%
PHI 98, CHA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	91.7%
HOU 93, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.33,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.05,0	91.6%