inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 119 Excitement9.6 [95] MVPDe'Aaron Fox (SAC): +35.7%
Sacramento Kings 123 Comeback22.9 [43] LVPJustise Winslow (MIA): -15.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Goran Dragic0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.140.130.040.032165%0.213-0.07989%0.07
James Johnson0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.090.070.040.031169%0.132-0.044100%0.02
Tyler Johnson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.02-0.011070%0.143-0.0600%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.06-0.011343%0.152-0.13475%0.01
Wayne Ellington0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.040.021955%0.111-0.102100%0.01
Rodney McGruder0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.001150%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01930%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Luke Babbitt-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15-0.05-0.12-0.011242%-0.112-0.0400%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.360.360.080.27-0.001461%0.391-0.03540%-0.11
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.290.290.150.160.021667%0.2900.004100%0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.080.08-0.000.08-0.011447%0.211-0.122100%0.01
Frank Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.01661%0.0700.00683%0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.01383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.03475%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Justin Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01764%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.02425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.08,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.120.07-0.180.011661%-0.043-0.08450%-0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.09-0.011042%-0.092-0.044100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.81.726.515.323.31.841.72.416.6153.0
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +57.2%
MIA -16.4%
MIA -14.3%
SAC +24.4%
MIA -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASACNBAMIASACNBA
this game14.515.114.7110.2115.0107.5
season15.115.4105.4102.9
opponent14.714.6110.1105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA11.817.114.914.414.814.5
SAC15.413.613.917.715.215.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Johnson68680.08-0.580.67-0.5020-244413.416.3-2.9316.313.13.23
Luke Babbitt29290.07-0.570.64-0.054-81213.115.0-1.9315.315.00.33
Goran Dragic7878-0.22-0.280.06-0.489-132214.414.7-0.3015.514.01.56
Rodney McGruder4039-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.02-128-2015.114.10.9814.115.7-1.53
Tyler Johnson6060-0.42-0.08-0.330.11-1814-3214.214.8-0.5613.716.9-3.23
Bam Adebayo5956-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.19-95-1414.414.6-0.2814.415.9-1.49
Justise Winslow7473-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.28-73-1015.113.11.9915.414.50.93
Wayne Ellington7271-0.540.04-0.58-0.33-73-1014.813.90.8515.015.3-0.26
Kelly Olynyk6162-0.580.08-0.66-0.52-2-2015.113.71.4215.414.80.60

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Buddy Hield60610.54-0.040.580.2211-71815.314.80.5215.313.41.87
Garrett Temple44430.400.100.300.226-2814.215.7-1.5615.214.01.21
Willie Cauley-Stein73750.340.160.180.2822014.815.8-1.0114.713.90.78
De'Aaron Fox72730.320.180.140.3204-414.815.7-0.8214.514.5-0.01
Kosta Koufos37370.250.250.010.086-2815.414.90.5014.614.40.25
Justin Jackson44440.190.31-0.120.1031214.715.4-0.7214.014.8-0.74
Frank Mason35350.180.32-0.140.0640415.714.80.8214.514.50.01
Zach Randolph66680.170.33-0.170.0831216.013.72.2214.215.0-0.86
Vince Carter36360.110.39-0.270.17-26-814.515.4-0.9514.414.5-0.10
Bogdan Bogdanovic6868-0.000.50-0.510.38-1317-3015.414.50.9313.616.0-2.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.04,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 99, ATL 1010.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.86,0.64,0.45,0.23,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.84,189.1%
DAL 106, MIN 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.18,0.54,0.61,0.92,0.99,1,188.6%
SEA 108, POR 1150.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.72,187.6%