NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	7.7 [338]		MVP	Bobby Portis (CHI): +24.0%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	12.2 [106]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): -9.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.07	-0.02	10	86%	0.25	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	5	55%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Maxi Kleber	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.10	0.01	19	58%	0.07	3	-0.11	7	100%	0.03
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.09	-0.16	0.00	17	60%	-0.03	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.14
J.J. Barea	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	9	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.13	-0.02	16	61%	0.33	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.06
Kris Dunn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	52%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	15	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	23.4	14.5	28.7	1.8	29.4	124.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.0%

CHI +4.4%

CHI +1.3%

CHI +4.7%

CHI +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	NBA	DAL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	14.7	104.2	112.5	107.5
season	15.4	14.2		105.3	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.3		110.2	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.2	17.8	15.0	16.3	15.5
CHI	14.0	14.3	15.0	15.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	11	10	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.06	10	-18	28	12.7	15.8	-3.08	13.7	14.6	-0.94
Dirk Nowitzki	56	54	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.12	9	-17	26	15.3	15.7	-0.37	15.2	13.7	1.56
Nerlens Noel	29	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	0	-8	16.0	15.2	0.78	14.4	14.6	-0.25
Wesley Matthews	61	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-9	10	14.5	17.1	-2.52	15.3	13.2	2.12
J.J. Barea	39	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	6	-20	17.3	14.2	3.11	13.9	14.9	-1.03
Dennis Smith Jr.	66	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-7	6	15.2	15.9	-0.69	15.2	13.0	2.13
Harrison Barnes	65	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-7	6	14.8	16.8	-1.94	15.2	12.8	2.43
Dwight Powell	52	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	15.9	14.9	0.97	13.9	15.2	-1.28
Yogi Ferrell	50	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	4	-16	15.2	15.7	-0.54	14.2	15.0	-0.80
Doug McDermott	51	48	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.09	-18	10	-28	16.5	14.3	2.16	12.7	16.3	-3.58

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	69	70	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.23	21	-13	34	13.6	17.0	-3.42	15.4	15.7	-0.37
Lauri Markkanen	69	67	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.38	12	-4	16	14.7	14.0	0.70	15.5	15.3	0.16
David Nwaba	65	64	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-2	12	15.1	13.3	1.80	15.7	15.0	0.73
Kris Dunn	70	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-1	10	14.7	14.2	0.53	14.9	17.0	-2.09
Zach LaVine	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	5	-2	15.7	11.8	3.89	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Denzel Valentine	45	47	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.14	6	2	4	12.9	16.0	-3.07	15.6	15.3	0.31
Cameron Payne	26	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	9	-10	14.2	14.7	-0.53	17.0	14.9	2.09
Noah Vonleh	7	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	8.4	15.0	-6.59	13.4	15.6	-2.27
Jerian Grant	15	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	11	-14	11.7	15.1	-3.41	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Cristiano Felicio	47	47	-0.57	1.07	-1.65	-0.08	-17	25	-42	16.6	12.6	3.98	15.9	15.0	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.13,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.31,0.47,0.27,0.45,0.78,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 79, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.28,0.53,0.72,0.9,0.84,1	90.8%
ORL 103, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.95,1	90.5%
NYK 90, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.73,1	90.4%