NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	5.1 [822]		MVP	John Collins (ATL): +6.2%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	1.2 [478]		LVP	Cory Joseph (IND): -18.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	64%	0.11	5	-0.09	8	75%	0.03
Joe Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	14	56%	0.07	5	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	0.13	-0.05	0.16	17	74%	0.02	4	-0.11	1	100%	-0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	25	40%	-0.05	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Cory Joseph	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	9	76%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	88%	0.15	5	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	4	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	13	44%	0.08	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	7	43%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	14	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	6	17%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	26.4	14.8	24.6	3.4	36.6	134.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +32.5%

ATL +2.6%

ATL +2.3%

ATL +12.4%

ATL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	13.2	13.7	14.7	95.3	100.0	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		108.3	104.2
opponent	14.4	15.0		109.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.1	12.6	16.6	10.7	13.2
ATL	14.1	14.1	11.5	15.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson III	28	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-7	9	13.1	13.2	-0.10	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Lance Stephenson	66	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.38	11	-16	27	12.4	14.4	-2.05	14.7	12.1	2.62
Joe Young	38	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.14	-10	5	-15	14.6	12.4	2.25	12.6	14.3	-1.78
Myles Turner	32	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	1	-7	13.8	12.9	0.91	14.9	13.2	1.68
Cory Joseph	69	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.49	5	-10	15	12.4	14.6	-2.25	14.3	12.6	1.78
Thaddeus Young	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	9	-23	13.7	12.4	1.30	13.2	14.5	-1.26
Domantas Sabonis	78	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-3	1	13.1	13.4	-0.32	13.1	15.2	-2.05
Victor Oladipo	85	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.28	-5	0	-5	13.2	13.2	-0.01	13.6	14.1	-0.44
Bojan Bogdanovic	78	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	1	-7	13.3	13.0	0.29	13.6	14.2	-0.64

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	55	55	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	-4	13	14.5	13.0	1.51	14.6	11.7	2.85
John Collins	59	60	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-4	13	13.4	14.2	-0.81	13.9	12.3	1.61
Taurean Prince	75	74	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	-1	7	14.7	11.6	3.10	13.5	12.5	1.05
Dennis Schroder	72	70	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	1	3	14.4	12.5	1.90	13.2	13.2	-0.06
Miles Plumlee	29	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.06	4	1	3	12.2	14.3	-2.10	13.1	13.2	-0.06
Isaiah Taylor	35	37	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	4	-3	12.5	14.4	-1.90	13.2	13.2	0.06
Mike Muscala	48	47	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.14	10	-5	15	12.7	14.6	-1.94	12.8	13.5	-0.73
Tyler Dorsey	43	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	2	1	12.4	14.7	-2.28	13.5	13.0	0.53
Jaylen Morris	29	29	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	5	-5	11.1	14.7	-3.66	11.8	13.7	-1.95
Dewayne Dedmon	62	61	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.43	-11	16	-27	15.5	11.3	4.27	13.0	13.4	-0.45
Malcolm Delaney	28	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.34	-10	15	-25	14.9	13.3	1.56	10.0	14.2	-4.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, ORL 114	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
IND 66, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DAL 87, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.9%