NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	66		Excitement	3.4 [1130]		MVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): +6.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Comeback	1.0 [1189]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -15.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.03	17	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.01	0.05	8	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	11	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	6	14%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David Harrison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.19	-0.02	-0.14	8	20%	-0.04	4	-0.03	9	11%	-0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	12	23%	-0.10	2	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.07	6	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.02	0.06	9	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	12	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.08	9	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	7	43%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	40%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	21	44%	0.00	1	-0.00	10	70%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	5	20%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	28.2	15.5	33.2	1.8	34.2	139.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.4%

CLE +3.9%

IND -4.8%

CLE +11.1%

CLE +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.6	69.5	101.1	104.4
season	16.0	16.2		102.3	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.9	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.5	15.0	15.0	14.2	14.9
CLE	13.9	17.8	17.0	13.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-25	20	12.2	15.4	-3.20	13.5	15.7	-2.25
Austin Croshere	36	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-26	22	14.9	14.9	-0.04	17.4	14.2	3.17
Fred Jones	64	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.30	-14	-16	2	14.7	15.3	-0.51	15.7	14.9	0.79
Jeff Foster	32	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-28	26	14.1	15.3	-1.29	14.6	15.8	-1.22
Sarunas Jasikevicius	46	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.16	-10	-20	10	15.0	14.8	0.25	15.7	15.1	0.51
Jamaal Tinsley	54	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	-12	-6	14.9	15.0	-0.06	15.4	15.4	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	55	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.15	-18	-12	-6	16.1	13.3	2.83	16.4	13.8	2.60
David Harrison	41	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.30	-24	-6	-18	14.4	15.3	-0.84	14.1	16.4	-2.30
Stephen Jackson	73	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.30	-25	-5	-20	15.3	13.6	1.67	15.6	14.7	0.93
Danny Granger	61	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.41	-30	0	-30	14.9	15.0	-0.18	14.3	17.5	-3.29

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	61	59	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.37	33	-3	36	15.5	15.2	0.26	15.5	14.0	1.47
LeBron James	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.48	33	-3	36	15.2	16.0	-0.88	15.2	14.1	1.08
Sasha Pavlovic	65	66	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.22	24	6	18	15.6	14.9	0.78	14.6	15.6	-0.92
Eric Snow	59	57	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.22	21	9	12	15.4	15.5	-0.12	15.5	14.1	1.44
Drew Gooden	51	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.24	18	12	6	14.7	16.2	-1.50	15.0	14.8	0.26
Donyell Marshall	38	39	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	21	-12	16.6	14.6	2.05	15.9	14.2	1.62
Damon Jones	47	47	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.19	10	20	-10	16.3	14.5	1.78	15.4	14.4	1.05
Ira Newble	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	36	-42	15.5	15.4	0.13	15.6	14.7	0.87
Luke Jackson	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	25	-20	13.5	15.7	-2.25	12.2	15.4	-3.20
Mike Wilks	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	27	-24	14.1	15.6	-1.51	11.8	15.4	-3.53
Anderson Varejao	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	27	-24	14.1	15.6	-1.51	11.8	15.4	-3.53
Alan Henderson	28	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	33	-36	15.4	15.4	-0.06	13.6	15.5	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, TOR 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
GSW 98, SAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 94, UTA 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%