NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	98		Excitement	4.8 [881]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +17.3%
Sacramento Kings	115		Comeback	1.2 [904]		LVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): -11.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
CJ Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Nelson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rob Kurz	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	10	37%	-0.07	2	-0.02	10	70%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	14	46%	-0.01	5	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.04	0.02	16	67%	0.19	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	57%	0.08	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	39%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	7	70%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.04	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	31.3	15.3	26.3	2.6	32.4	137.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +31.7%

SAC +15.5%

GSW -5.1%

SAC +5.5%

SAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	13.2	14.4	15.5	93.3	110.6	106.4
season	13.8	15.0		107.3	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.0		112.7	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.4	13.5	14.0	12.8	13.2
SAC	12.9	15.3	13.2	16.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Williams	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-20	23	12.4	13.3	-0.85	16.3	14.0	2.32
Ronny Turiaf	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-16	15	9.2	13.6	-4.37	18.4	14.0	4.41
Anthony Morrow	25	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-16	15	12.8	13.3	-0.52	16.7	13.7	2.98
Marco Belinelli	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-12	7	13.1	13.2	-0.04	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Rob Kurz	47	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-12	7	13.8	12.6	1.15	15.0	13.9	1.05
Anthony Randolph	31	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-14	11	13.6	13.0	0.61	13.5	14.8	-1.32
DeMarcus Nelson	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-9	1	12.5	13.8	-1.26	15.8	13.0	2.87
CJ Watson	60	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-5	-7	13.2	13.1	0.15	13.7	15.3	-1.52
Andris Biedrins	68	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-8	-1	13.7	12.1	1.57	13.9	15.4	-1.54
Brandan Wright	53	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	-1	-15	12.6	13.7	-1.07	14.4	14.4	-0.04
Stephen Jackson	73	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	-4	-9	13.5	12.3	1.16	13.2	17.4	-4.24
Kelenna Azubuike	63	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	-2	-13	13.4	12.8	0.53	14.0	15.0	-1.00

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	78	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	3	11	13.2	18.1	-4.94	13.3	12.7	0.61
Brad Miller	69	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	3	11	12.9	17.4	-4.50	14.2	11.2	2.98
Beno Udrih	57	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	5	7	13.6	15.3	-1.69	13.5	12.7	0.83
Mikki Moore	47	47	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	7	3	13.0	15.6	-2.54	14.3	12.2	2.04
John Salmons	75	75	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.02	9	8	1	13.5	16.8	-3.35	13.8	11.5	2.27
Jason Thompson	40	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	10	-3	15.9	13.5	2.46	11.4	14.4	-2.94
Spencer Hawes	56	56	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	10	-3	15.4	13.2	2.16	12.3	14.1	-1.82
Bobby Brown	47	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.07	5	12	-7	15.3	13.6	1.69	12.7	13.5	-0.83
Bobby Jackson	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	11	-5	17.0	13.0	4.00	12.5	13.5	-0.99
Shelden Williams	12	12	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	11	-5	19.2	13.8	5.37	11.2	13.4	-2.24
Donte Greene	13	13	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	19	-21	19.5	13.7	5.86	11.2	13.4	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 79, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NJN 79, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CLE 76, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%