NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	9.9 [73]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +94.5%
Miami Heat	102		Comeback	8.7 [150]		LVP	JJ Redick (PHI): -30.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.15	-0.01	14	66%	0.34	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.05
Joel Embiid	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16	0.05	0.13	0.02	16	66%	0.33	5	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	8	68%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	7	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	10	25%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	9	46%	-0.04	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.13
JJ Redick	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.3	-0.07	-0.23	-0.01	14	45%	-0.09	5	-0.22	5	100%	0.09

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.25,0.4,0.33,0.95	0.95	0.16	0.78	0.00	16	73%	1.00	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.15
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	10	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	11	50%	0.09	2	-0.06	8	37%	-0.08
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.02	17	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	6	53%	0.08	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	11	27%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	29.5	15.3	30.5	2.7	40.0	145.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +40.7%

MIA +9.4%

PHI -30.9%

MIA +29.9%

MIA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	14.4	14.5	14.7	101.0	103.0	107.5
season	13.9	15.1		108.1	105.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		105.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.6	15.4	12.7	16.5	14.4
MIA	14.1	12.9	14.5	17.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	48	50	0.32	-0.82	1.13	-0.01	11	-12	23	14.6	14.2	0.42	14.8	14.2	0.58
Richaun Holmes	34	34	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.01	9	-10	19	14.5	14.4	0.06	15.1	14.2	0.83
Marco Belinelli	55	54	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.13	-2	1	-3	14.8	13.9	0.90	14.7	14.3	0.37
Amir Johnson	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.24	-11	10	-21	15.2	14.2	1.08	15.0	14.4	0.58
Robert Covington	69	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-3	5	14.2	14.8	-0.59	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Joel Embiid	65	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.72	12	-13	25	14.0	15.3	-1.32	14.3	14.9	-0.56
JJ Redick	59	59	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.71	-2	1	-3	14.4	14.5	-0.10	14.5	14.6	-0.10
Ben Simmons	70	69	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.48	-11	10	-21	14.2	15.0	-0.77	14.6	14.4	0.17
Dario Saric	75	74	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.45	-13	12	-25	14.5	14.2	0.36	14.1	15.7	-1.61

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	69	70	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.41	20	-19	39	14.9	13.6	1.27	14.2	14.9	-0.62
Hassan Whiteside	68	71	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.39	19	-18	37	14.8	13.9	0.89	14.2	14.9	-0.71
Kelly Olynyk	49	49	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-10	21	14.3	14.7	-0.45	16.2	12.8	3.40
Josh Richardson	77	79	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.49	-3	4	-7	14.6	14.2	0.37	14.3	15.0	-0.72
Justise Winslow	43	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	-1	3	14.1	14.8	-0.75	13.2	15.3	-2.10
Dwyane Wade	51	50	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.63	-16	17	-33	14.7	14.3	0.39	14.9	14.0	0.86
Tyler Johnson	49	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	1	-1	14.6	14.4	0.19	13.5	15.4	-1.86
Rodney McGruder	16	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	0	1	15.6	14.3	1.25	15.4	14.2	1.17
Wayne Ellington	25	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	5	-9	12.9	15.1	-2.19	15.2	14.2	0.97
James Johnson	31	33	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.03	-8	9	-17	15.2	14.2	0.99	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Bam Adebayo	17	14	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.17	-17	18	-35	12.5	14.9	-2.40	14.4	14.4	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.38,0.21,0.43,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 116, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.27,1	91.4%
MEM 98, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.16,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.13,0.28,1	90.4%
GSW 108, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.17,1	90.3%