NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	9.0 [131]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +35.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	118		Comeback	13.6 [179]		LVP	Carl Landry (GSW): -27.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.36	0.32	0.08	0.04	31	71%	0.38	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Klay Thompson	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.27,0.18	0.02	0.16	0.00	24	48%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
David Lee	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	12	68%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.23	-0.10	-0.15	-0.01	9	33%	0.02	3	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0,-0.27	-0.05	-0.23	-0.00	12	42%	-0.23	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.05	0.18	-0.00	21	59%	0.38	5	-0.14	16	75%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.13	0.01	9	70%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.09
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	5	58%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.16,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.01	0.07	8	74%	0.14	2	-0.05	22	64%	-0.20
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.01,-0.07	-0.07	0.09	-0.13	0.02	13	76%	0.20	5	-0.26	8	100%	0.05
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	28.7	16.4	30.5	2.4	38.4	143.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.2%

LAL +23.2%

GSW -3.2%

GSW -9.1%

LAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	15.4	119.6	120.4	104.1
season	14.6	14.9		104.6	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.5	16.3	14.6	14.5	14.7
LAL	15.8	13.7	15.4	14.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	17	16	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.14	3	-5	8	12.9	15.1	-2.16	17.2	14.3	2.91
Festus Ezeli	34	34	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.04	8	-10	18	13.5	15.4	-1.93	16.1	14.1	2.04
Klay Thompson	88	88	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-5	8	14.6	16.1	-1.53	14.9	13.8	1.13
Harrison Barnes	58	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-2	2	15.4	13.8	1.59	15.3	14.2	1.11
Stephen Curry	89	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.48	3	-5	8	14.6	16.6	-2.07	14.9	14.0	0.88
David Lee	87	87	-0.61	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	4	-10	14.7	14.7	0.02	14.7	15.5	-0.72
Jarrett Jack	55	58	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.45	-10	8	-18	14.6	14.9	-0.24	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Carl Landry	57	59	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.67	-11	9	-20	15.9	13.0	2.93	13.5	16.8	-3.29

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	45	44	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.51	5	-3	8	14.4	15.2	-0.73	14.9	14.6	0.34
Pau Gasol	77	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.44	7	-5	12	14.7	15.1	-0.35	14.3	16.4	-2.11
Metta World Peace	52	50	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-6	14	13.2	16.7	-3.54	15.5	13.9	1.65
Steve Blake	74	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-3	8	14.9	14.7	0.14	14.7	14.6	0.11
Dwight Howard	77	78	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.43	-8	10	-18	14.8	15.0	-0.17	14.4	16.2	-1.79
Kobe Bryant	90	89	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	2	-2	15.2	10.4	4.84	15.0	11.7	3.24
Earl Clark	54	50	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	6	-10	16.3	13.0	3.21	13.7	15.8	-2.03
Antawn Jamison	21	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	5	-8	14.7	14.9	-0.19	16.4	14.2	2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 77, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.42,1	92.5%
NYK 89, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.42,1	92.1%
MEM 91, OKC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.08,1	92.0%