NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	103		Excitement	5.0 [841]		MVP	Dwight Howard (CHA): +23.1%
Charlotte Hornets	118		Comeback	2.4 [997]		LVP	Kris Dunn (CHI): -23.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Nwaba	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	5	92%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Denzel Valentine	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.02	9	57%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	19	48%	-0.01	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.21	-0.05	-0.03	11	33%	-0.11	7	-0.12	8	75%	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.06	-0.01	12	83%	0.25	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	9	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	6	79%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	19	74%	0.22	6	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	8	78%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.03	-0.04	11	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	43%	-0.00	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	25.8	14.4	25.6	2.6	31.2	124.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +39.2%

CHA +6.6%

CHI -3.8%

CHA +13.9%

CHI -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	14.7	105.1	119.2	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		103.2	108.7
opponent	14.5	15.0		108.5	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.7	13.4	12.5	15.4	14.0
CHA	14.7	15.4	17.0	14.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	30	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-19	23	12.3	14.8	-2.50	14.9	15.4	-0.43
David Nwaba	65	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-16	17	13.9	14.2	-0.32	15.3	15.0	0.31
Cameron Payne	34	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-18	21	13.9	14.1	-0.18	16.0	14.8	1.27
Bobby Portis	46	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-17	19	13.9	14.1	-0.16	15.6	14.9	0.72
Denzel Valentine	60	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-4	-7	13.9	14.2	-0.26	15.1	15.5	-0.36
Kris Dunn	64	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	3	-21	14.1	13.9	0.18	14.8	16.0	-1.27
Lauri Markkanen	67	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	4	-23	14.3	13.4	0.94	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Cristiano Felicio	53	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.03	-17	2	-19	14.7	13.2	1.48	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Zach LaVine	71	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.03	-20	5	-25	14.2	13.5	0.66	15.3	15.2	0.07

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	58	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-3	21	15.6	14.8	0.81	14.6	13.1	1.44
Marvin Williams	61	60	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-3	21	15.0	15.6	-0.56	14.3	13.4	0.90
Kemba Walker	69	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	1	13	15.4	14.9	0.52	13.9	14.3	-0.45
Jeremy Lamb	58	58	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	2	11	14.7	16.0	-1.27	13.7	14.5	-0.84
Treveon Graham	56	56	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	7	1	15.5	14.8	0.70	14.0	14.0	-0.04
Nicolas Batum	69	66	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	11	-7	15.1	15.6	-0.53	14.0	14.0	-0.05
Michael Carter-Williams	28	27	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	12	-9	16.0	14.9	1.02	13.9	14.0	-0.15
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	12	-9	16.0	15.1	0.86	17.5	13.6	3.89
Frank Kaminsky	47	46	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	15	-15	15.3	15.2	0.12	13.7	14.3	-0.66
Malik Monk	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	12.7	15.3	-2.65	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Dwayne Bacon	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	12.7	15.3	-2.65	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Willy Hernangomez	7	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	17	-19	15.9	15.2	0.67	12.4	14.1	-1.77
Cody Zeller	25	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	19	-23	14.7	15.4	-0.74	12.9	14.4	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.77,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
WAS 102, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CHI 90, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.93,1,1,1	94.4%