inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 104 Excitement9.9 [74] MVPBismack Biyombo (ORL): +17.3%
Orlando Magic 102 Comeback2.4 [664] LVPShelvin Mack (ORL): -24.8%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.14,0.14,0.150.050.100.011074%0.334-0.193100%0.03
Dwight Howard0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.030.011658%0.121-0.02667%-0.01
Nicolas Batum0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.090.040.05-0.001164%0.142-0.0500%0.00
Kemba Walker0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,0.12,0.060.040.02-0.011948%0.081-0.024100%0.02
Treveon Graham0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.010.00550%0.0300.002100%0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01731%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Frank Kaminsky-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.02-0.090.003100%0.062-0.1300%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.190,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19-0.06-0.120.01833%-0.132-0.06250%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.170.170.040.150.01755%0.1700.00683%-0.04
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.05-0.00560%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Wes Iwundu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.001100%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.030.031262%0.0300.002100%0.01
Khem Birch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00250%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.06-0.120.012052%-0.0700.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14-0.140.02-0.16-0.001167%0.034-0.172100%0.01
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17-0.17-0.04-0.120.011541%-0.102-0.07250%-0.01
Jonathon Simmons0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.09-0.13-0.00545%-0.085-0.151100%0.01
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.10-0.17-0.02844%-0.055-0.202100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.826.313.024.01.632.0123.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +45.7%
CHA +9.1%
ORL -25.7%
CHA +20.6%
CHA +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAORLNBACHAORLNBA
this game13.115.114.7102.0100.0107.5
season14.614.6108.7104.2
opponent14.514.5109.1108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA12.413.912.913.413.1
ORL12.015.517.616.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard68690.92-0.421.330.5413-112412.414.4-1.9915.514.31.20
Marvin Williams68680.91-0.411.310.5213-112412.713.9-1.2815.314.90.35
Nicolas Batum69690.90-0.401.300.5512-102212.414.5-2.1115.215.00.26
Kemba Walker89900.470.030.430.4411012.815.3-2.5415.115.2-0.02
Jeremy Lamb53550.440.060.380.179-71612.813.4-0.6215.614.61.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist51500.080.42-0.340.37-1012-2212.913.3-0.4114.715.6-0.96
Frank Kaminsky22210.020.48-0.45-0.094-2614.012.81.1013.715.5-1.80
Michael Carter-Williams2928-0.380.88-1.25-0.14-810-1815.212.32.9115.215.10.04
Cody Zeller3332-0.420.92-1.34-0.13-1012-2214.812.22.6014.715.3-0.62
Treveon Graham2828-0.430.93-1.36-0.02-1416-3014.512.61.9015.215.10.04

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marreese Speights41410.30-0.801.100.039-112015.115.2-0.1213.313.00.34
Khem Birch34340.29-0.791.090.213-5815.515.00.4914.112.61.46
Shelvin Mack49500.29-0.791.070.116-81415.614.70.8613.512.70.81
Arron Afflalo32320.28-0.781.060.193-5815.614.90.6514.412.51.87
Wes Iwundu42430.17-0.670.830.170-2215.614.80.8013.113.1-0.03
Jonathon Simmons5452-0.690.19-0.88-0.43-97-1614.715.7-0.9812.813.4-0.57
Bismack Biyombo5355-0.750.25-1.00-0.63-42-614.815.5-0.6612.913.3-0.47
D.J. Augustin6464-0.770.27-1.03-0.68-31-415.314.80.5312.713.7-1.03
Evan Fournier6565-0.780.28-1.05-0.63-53-814.516.3-1.8512.813.7-0.92
Mario Hezonja7776-0.850.35-1.19-0.58-97-1615.115.3-0.2312.415.2-2.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 107, DEN 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.67,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.41,091.0%
HOU 99, DET 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.43,0.36,0.24,0.36,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.13,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.68,0.37,0.45,0.16,090.8%
HOU 111, PHX 1050.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.54,0.38,0.22,0.16,0.01,090.2%