NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	118		Excitement	4.7 [900]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +42.2%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.2 [996]		LVP	Garrett Temple (SAC): -12.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.39	0.07	0.03	26	81%	0.48	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.06
Maurice Harkless	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	9	79%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	5	130%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	71%	0.01	2	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	6	25%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	13	42%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	6	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	11	68%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	14	58%	0.00	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.03	-0.06	9	48%	0.09	4	-0.12	9	78%	0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	14	34%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	0.12	12	62%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	8	19%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	24.6	15.3	26.6	2.4	25.6	120.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +43.7%

SAC -0.1%

SAC -3.5%

POR +11.0%

SAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	14.7	125.5	105.3	107.5
season	15.2	15.4		107.8	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.3		110.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.0	15.3	15.2	16.6	15.8
SAC	15.3	16.7	14.2	12.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	57	58	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	0	18	15.3	16.5	-1.15	15.2	13.8	1.40
Evan Turner	39	38	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.02	13	5	8	15.7	15.9	-0.16	15.9	13.9	2.04
Pat Connaughton	29	26	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.00	10	8	2	15.8	15.8	-0.04	14.4	14.8	-0.43
Zach Collins	48	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	7	4	16.0	15.5	0.52	14.4	15.0	-0.66
Jusuf Nurkic	48	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	8	2	15.5	16.1	-0.63	14.8	14.5	0.28
Ed Davis	40	39	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	9	0	16.1	15.5	0.59	15.5	14.1	1.34
Al-Farouq Aminu	46	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	11	-4	15.5	16.0	-0.52	15.0	14.4	0.66
CJ McCollum	60	65	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	12	-6	15.9	15.6	0.22	14.2	15.8	-1.57
Maurice Harkless	49	52	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	12	-6	15.8	15.7	0.10	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Shabazz Napier	36	36	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	15	-12	16.4	15.4	0.93	16.0	13.9	2.06
Meyers Leonard	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	16.0	15.8	0.23	7.2	15.1	-7.91
Jake Layman	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	16.0	15.8	0.23	7.2	15.1	-7.91
Caleb Swanigan	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	16.0	15.8	0.23	7.2	15.1	-7.91

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	53	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-18	18	15.6	13.5	2.10	16.0	15.5	0.45
Buddy Hield	43	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-14	10	14.6	14.8	-0.16	16.3	15.4	0.86
Kosta Koufos	34	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-16	14	15.7	14.1	1.62	16.7	15.3	1.41
Justin Jackson	56	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-13	8	13.3	16.7	-3.35	15.9	15.7	0.16
Bogdan Bogdanovic	68	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-7	-4	14.2	15.8	-1.56	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Willie Cauley-Stein	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.08	-16	-2	-14	14.1	15.7	-1.62	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Garrett Temple	49	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-3	-12	16.1	13.2	2.86	16.4	15.1	1.35
Vince Carter	45	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-2	-14	13.9	15.4	-1.57	15.5	16.0	-0.52
De'Aaron Fox	66	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.09	-21	3	-24	15.2	13.6	1.55	15.2	17.3	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 127, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
HOU 113, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
LAC 98, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%