inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 127 Excitement4.7 [880] MVPEvan Fournier (ORL): +18.8%
Orlando Magic 112 Comeback1.5 [887] LVPElfrid Payton (ORL): -17.5%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.250.010.092273%0.212-0.05771%0.00
Myles Turner0.110,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.150.020.061379%0.142-0.03367%-0.01
Thaddeus Young0.110,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.010.01887%0.131-0.0200%0.00
CJ Miles0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.02-0.01773%0.1100.001100%0.00
Lavoy Allen0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.01478%0.0600.001100%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02758%0.0500.00560%-0.02
Rakeem Christmas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lance Stephenson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02757%0.023-0.0400%0.00
Aaron Brooks-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.0210%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.01-0.01550%0.044-0.0900%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.011137%-0.052-0.032100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Fournier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.210.010.031082%0.1900.00887%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.170.020.071778%0.194-0.073100%0.02
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.00-0.021361%0.131-0.042100%0.01
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.02764%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00370%0.041-0.03425%-0.02
Damjan Rudez00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patricio Garino00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.000.05747%-0.0400.00367%0.00
C.J. Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.0258%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Nikola Vucevic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.050.031233%-0.121-0.0300%0.00
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.050.021050%-0.006-0.1700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.61.830.514.827.51.630.4131.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +30.0%
IND +2.4%
IND +9.7%
IND +7.2%
IND +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDORLNBAINDORLNBA
this game14.813.714.8125.7110.9107.7
season14.914.6107.5103.0
opponent14.914.8109.8108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND12.914.215.516.914.8
ORL13.814.012.215.113.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Seraphin34350.410.090.32-0.031501515.414.50.9514.713.21.46
Thaddeus Young66670.340.160.170.04105514.515.4-0.9013.214.8-1.60
Lance Stephenson44430.300.200.10-0.05123915.414.31.1114.413.21.23
CJ Miles40400.300.200.090.0396315.314.40.8614.613.11.52
Jeff Teague69680.290.210.080.0687114.315.9-1.6513.414.4-1.03
Paul George83830.290.210.070.0878-115.213.02.1713.713.70.08
Aaron Brooks32330.210.29-0.080.0178-115.914.31.6514.413.41.03
Monta Ellis55560.200.30-0.100.11312-914.215.5-1.2813.214.4-1.24
Myles Turner67660.090.41-0.320.09015-1514.515.4-0.9513.214.7-1.46
Lavoy Allen11100.080.42-0.34-0.04411-711.515.2-3.7313.513.8-0.26
Rakeem Christmas220.000.50-0.500.00015-1517.014.72.2614.013.70.27
Joe Young220.000.50-0.500.00015-1517.014.72.2614.013.70.27

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damjan Rudez220.00-0.500.500.000-151514.013.70.2717.014.72.26
Patricio Garino220.00-0.500.500.000-151514.013.70.2717.014.72.26
Marcus Georges-Hunt220.00-0.500.500.000-151514.013.70.2717.014.72.26
Bismack Biyombo3433-0.19-0.310.120.13-11-4-714.613.31.2515.014.70.37
Jodie Meeks2828-0.20-0.300.090.15-12-3-915.013.21.7514.914.70.15
C.J. Watson2826-0.21-0.290.080.11-11-4-714.413.50.9615.014.70.29
Evan Fournier7879-0.21-0.290.08-0.210-151513.514.7-1.1914.814.60.19
Elfrid Payton7173-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.17-4-11713.514.4-0.9514.615.1-0.50
Nikola Vucevic6768-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.19-4-11713.314.6-1.2514.715.0-0.37
Terrence Ross7878-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.17-5-10513.514.7-1.1914.914.30.68
Mario Hezonja3433-0.38-0.12-0.250.15-183-2115.013.11.9114.914.70.19
Aaron Gordon8181-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.10-10-5-513.315.6-2.3314.416.3-1.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 99, POR 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
UTA 133, SAC 1120.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.36,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
PHI 107, POR 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%