NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	6.4 [573]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (IND): +10.7%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.3 [783]		LVP	JJ Redick (PHI): -18.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.03	-0.03	-0.05	11	52%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	13	52%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	19	51%	0.15	7	-0.24	9	67%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	12	46%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	13	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
JJ Redick	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.09	-0.04	0.05	8	32%	-0.09	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	11	70%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	59%	0.11	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.04	0.03	11	58%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Joe Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	-0.05	8	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	17	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	29.5	15.3	26.7	2.5	34.6	136.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.6%

IND +8.8%

PHI -13.4%

IND +22.0%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	14.7	94.8	103.1	107.5
season	13.9	14.8		108.1	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.0	13.4	13.5	16.0	15.1
IND	13.3	13.7	15.9	15.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	27	25	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.17	14	-22	36	14.3	15.5	-1.21	17.8	13.4	4.32
Dario Saric	60	57	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-7	6	15.9	13.9	2.05	14.6	14.5	0.10
Ben Simmons	71	70	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-10	12	15.3	14.8	0.50	14.7	14.2	0.46
Robert Covington	69	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.35	7	-15	22	15.6	14.1	1.49	15.2	13.0	2.19
Jerryd Bayless	45	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.48	11	-19	30	15.2	15.1	0.16	16.2	13.2	3.10
Justin Anderson	28	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	7	-22	14.1	15.6	-1.49	13.0	15.2	-2.19
JJ Redick	57	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	5	-18	14.6	15.9	-1.39	13.7	15.9	-2.24
T.J. McConnell	28	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	4	-16	14.4	15.4	-0.99	14.0	14.8	-0.79
Trevor Booker	32	34	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	5	-18	14.6	15.4	-0.85	13.8	15.0	-1.13
Joel Embiid	68	70	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.15	-20	12	-32	15.6	14.0	1.67	13.5	17.3	-3.74

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	51	48	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.25	15	-7	22	14.3	14.9	-0.64	14.1	16.1	-2.00
Domantas Sabonis	65	63	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.24	14	-6	20	14.7	14.3	0.32	15.4	14.6	0.84
Al Jefferson	30	29	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-6	20	13.5	15.0	-1.53	14.2	15.5	-1.32
Cory Joseph	54	51	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	0	8	14.5	14.6	-0.09	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Darren Collison	63	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	0	8	14.5	14.6	-0.09	15.6	14.2	1.33
Victor Oladipo	67	68	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	7	-6	14.4	14.9	-0.45	15.4	14.4	1.03
Joe Young	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	7	-6	14.2	14.6	-0.35	11.7	15.6	-3.84
Thaddeus Young	65	66	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	16	-24	15.3	13.0	2.28	15.7	13.9	1.76
Bojan Bogdanovic	49	52	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	11	-14	14.4	14.7	-0.30	15.7	14.4	1.29
Myles Turner	29	31	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	18	-28	15.1	14.3	0.78	15.1	15.2	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.91,0.93,1,1,1	94.1%
TOR 98, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	93.9%
DEN 90, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.4%