NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	5.3 [780]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): +29.6%
San Antonio Spurs	113		Comeback	1.4 [1149]		LVP	Zach Randolph (SAC): -15.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.30	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.21	0.09	0.01	15	76%	0.30	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.02	12	78%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Justin Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	11	73%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	7	21%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	15	30%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.19	0.06	-0.02	15	77%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	6	100%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.03	6	92%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	54%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Paul	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrun Hilliard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	12	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	17	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	30.4	14.7	24.3	2.0	28.2	123.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +19.8%

SAS +0.7%

SAS +21.4%

SAS +6.3%

SAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	14.7	107.7	124.2	107.5
season	15.4	15.5		102.9	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.7		104.1	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	16.0	18.6	14.6	15.8
SAS	17.3	15.3	14.8	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	53	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-20	25	15.3	16.4	-1.18	15.4	16.5	-1.04
Zach Randolph	61	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-9	3	15.8	15.6	0.19	16.1	15.5	0.55
JaKarr Sampson	15	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-10	5	17.1	15.5	1.65	16.0	15.9	0.13
George Hill	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-6	-3	15.3	16.3	-1.02	15.3	16.6	-1.35
Buddy Hield	39	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-7	-1	15.6	15.9	-0.34	15.8	15.9	-0.13
Justin Jackson	58	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-3	-9	15.3	16.5	-1.19	15.4	16.7	-1.33
De'Aaron Fox	61	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-7	-1	15.8	15.8	-0.01	16.1	15.3	0.82
Bogdan Bogdanovic	62	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-1	-13	15.7	15.8	-0.05	15.9	15.8	0.09
Kosta Koufos	56	56	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.05	-18	3	-21	16.8	14.1	2.72	16.9	14.3	2.51

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryn Forbes	50	50	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-1	17	16.0	15.7	0.29	16.8	14.5	2.36
Pau Gasol	47	46	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	5	5	16.6	15.2	1.42	15.5	16.1	-0.61
Manu Ginobili	47	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	8	-1	15.6	16.2	-0.52	15.3	16.4	-1.11
LaMarcus Aldridge	55	55	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.10	14	1	13	17.0	14.2	2.81	17.2	13.6	3.60
Dejounte Murray	47	47	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	8	-1	17.2	14.5	2.78	17.3	14.1	3.18
Kyle Anderson	43	39	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	11	-7	15.9	15.9	-0.01	14.6	16.6	-2.04
Davis Bertans	42	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	8	-1	14.4	17.2	-2.76	15.4	16.1	-0.76
Tony Parker	42	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	9	-3	14.4	17.2	-2.76	14.3	17.0	-2.72
Patty Mills	41	42	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	16	-17	15.0	16.6	-1.62	14.3	17.0	-2.78
Darrun Hilliard	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	10	-5	14.5	16.1	-1.60	19.7	15.2	4.60
Brandon Paul	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	15.5	15.9	-0.40	5.0	15.9	-10.88
Danny Green	17	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	16	-17	18.8	15.2	3.61	16.4	15.6	0.82
Joffrey Lauvergne	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.02	-1	16	-17	13.7	16.2	-2.46	13.2	16.1	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 78, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
SAC 93, TOR 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.5%
MIL 87, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.99,1	94.3%