NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	75		Excitement	4.0 [1039]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): +7.0%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	1.3 [594]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -16.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris McCullough	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	14	45%	0.05	3	-0.07	12	58%	-0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	11	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	15	32%	-0.07	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	16	61%	0.07	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	12	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Collinsworth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	41%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	7	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	16	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	16	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.5	14.7	27.5	1.8	30.4	126.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.1%

DAL +0.2%

DAL +6.9%

DAL +4.3%

DAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.0	14.7	80.6	105.4	107.5
season	14.8	15.4		108.2	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.7		108.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.3	14.5	15.5	14.8	15.0
DAL	17.5	13.2	18.8	15.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris McCullough	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	10.2	15.6	-5.35	14.0	16.3	-2.26
Tim Frazier	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	10.2	15.6	-5.35	14.0	16.3	-2.26
Marcin Gortat	32	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-26	29	15.3	14.8	0.56	18.0	14.9	3.12
Ian Mahinmi	18	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.19	-9	-14	5	16.6	14.6	2.02	17.9	15.6	2.24
Jodie Meeks	24	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-15	7	13.1	15.6	-2.55	14.5	16.6	-2.01
Mike Scott	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	-11	-1	16.1	14.8	1.26	16.7	15.9	0.87
John Wall	67	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-22	21	15.4	13.8	1.57	16.9	13.6	3.30
Jason Smith	28	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-14	5	14.1	15.4	-1.30	13.9	17.0	-3.13
Markieff Morris	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-20	17	15.2	14.8	0.39	16.7	15.1	1.63
Tomas Satoransky	40	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.32	-22	-1	-21	14.7	15.2	-0.40	14.3	17.1	-2.79
Bradley Beal	69	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-8	-7	15.6	13.1	2.55	16.6	14.5	2.01
Otto Porter Jr.	46	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-8	-7	14.9	15.1	-0.17	15.1	16.8	-1.74
Kelly Oubre Jr.	60	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.12	-20	-3	-17	15.7	13.7	1.99	16.1	15.8	0.35

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	45	45	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.11	22	1	21	15.5	16.5	-1.01	14.8	15.2	-0.43
J.J. Barea	41	41	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	5	13	16.0	16.0	-0.02	15.6	14.5	1.17
Yogi Ferrell	58	59	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.30	23	0	23	15.9	16.2	-0.34	15.1	14.7	0.38
Harrison Barnes	59	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	11	1	16.1	15.7	0.40	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Kyle Collinsworth	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	6	11	15.7	16.2	-0.52	15.4	14.7	0.62
Wesley Matthews	56	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	17	-11	16.2	15.7	0.52	14.7	15.4	-0.62
Dennis Smith Jr.	60	59	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	17	-11	16.1	15.8	0.22	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Dirk Nowitzki	43	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.00	5	18	-13	15.9	16.1	-0.15	16.1	14.0	2.16
Maxi Kleber	34	34	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	23	-23	15.5	16.3	-0.82	15.3	14.8	0.54
Josh McRoberts	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	20	-17	14.2	16.2	-1.90	10.6	15.3	-4.77
Jalen Jones	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	20	-17	14.2	16.2	-1.90	10.6	15.3	-4.77
Salah Mejri	16	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	23	-23	20.2	15.1	5.07	14.9	15.0	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, POR 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.7%
LAL 81, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
TOR 85, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%