NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	113		Excitement	7.6 [349]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +52.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	119		Comeback	3.1 [502]		LVP	Ian Clark (NOP): -9.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.06	0.04	9	79%	0.21	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.05
Shabazz Napier	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	15	57%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	21	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	22	48%	0.12	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.08	0.02	16	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.52	0.24	0.29	0.01	23	72%	0.59	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.09	0.02	6	89%	0.26	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	11	83%	0.20	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.04
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	21	53%	0.15	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	7	31%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	25.4	14.7	28.0	1.8	37.2	131.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +57.2%

NOP +14.9%

POR -5.5%

POR -15.6%

POR -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOP	NBA	POR	NOP	NBA
this game	15.5	13.6	14.7	114.1	120.2	107.5
season	15.2	13.6		107.8	108.0
opponent	14.6	14.3		107.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.3	15.8	17.2	13.0	15.5
NOP	11.8	14.2	13.5	14.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	74	73	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.31	16	-22	38	14.7	18.0	-3.24	13.8	12.8	0.96
Shabazz Napier	76	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-9	12	15.2	16.7	-1.57	13.6	13.4	0.15
Jusuf Nurkic	64	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.32	7	-13	20	14.6	17.2	-2.57	14.4	12.0	2.41
Damian Lillard	78	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-11	16	15.2	16.8	-1.56	13.3	14.6	-1.33
Pat Connaughton	31	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-1	-4	17.2	14.8	2.46	10.9	15.0	-4.07
CJ McCollum	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-3	0	14.9	17.6	-2.70	14.2	11.8	2.40
Ed Davis	35	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	12	-30	17.7	14.3	3.37	12.9	13.9	-1.03
Maurice Harkless	39	39	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.07	-16	10	-26	16.4	15.0	1.44	14.1	13.2	0.86
Zach Collins	23	23	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.01	-19	13	-32	18.1	14.8	3.32	13.3	13.6	-0.38

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	52	53	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.16	27	-21	48	13.1	14.1	-1.05	16.1	14.8	1.28
Ian Clark	54	53	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.29	21	-15	36	13.6	13.4	0.20	15.1	16.1	-0.99
DeMarcus Cousins	72	72	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-6	18	14.2	11.7	2.55	16.0	14.3	1.75
Jrue Holiday	76	75	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.35	-1	7	-8	13.3	14.3	-1.03	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Dante Cunningham	37	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	-1	8	13.6	13.5	0.15	16.0	15.3	0.70
Anthony Davis	86	86	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.34	-5	11	-16	13.3	15.3	-2.02	15.2	18.0	-2.84
Jameer Nelson	23	24	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	-1	8	14.3	13.3	1.03	15.7	15.5	0.23
E'Twaun Moore	53	53	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.12	-15	21	-36	13.2	14.0	-0.83	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Rajon Rondo	42	42	-0.53	1.03	-1.57	0.14	-23	29	-52	13.8	13.4	0.44	15.6	15.5	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 100, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.48,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.66,0.76,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.85,1	91.6%
MIN 105, TOR 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	91.4%
LAC 84, SEA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.89,0.8,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.98,1,1	91.3%