NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	84		Excitement	6.5 [484]		MVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): +13.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	94		Comeback	2.1 [752]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (SEA): -16.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	4	112%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	10	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.04	11	73%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	10	54%	0.03	3	-0.12	4	25%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	10	43%	-0.02	2	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	13	23%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	6	67%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.07	0.01	20	62%	0.23	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	13	44%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.01	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	8	31%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	9	35%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	42.2	1.8	27.5	16.4	21.5	1.7	28.2	139.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +16.6%

SEA +8.2%

SEA +5.7%

SEA +17.3%

SEA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.9	15.5	92.3	103.3	100.9
season	16.1	15.2		99.5	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.4	15.0	16.1	15.5	15.7
SEA	15.6	14.4	17.4	16.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	20	20	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-18	26	14.9	15.9	-0.99	15.4	16.1	-0.61
Keyon Dooling	29	29	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.12	8	-18	26	15.1	16.0	-0.96	15.4	16.1	-0.70
Cherokee Parks	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-8	6	17.9	14.8	3.13	18.3	14.9	3.46
Sean Rooks	32	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-14	18	15.2	16.0	-0.73	15.2	16.3	-1.11
Corey Maggette	33	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	14.9	16.2	-1.33	14.3	16.8	-2.49
Eric Piatkowski	62	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	3	-16	15.7	15.9	-0.20	16.1	15.6	0.51
Lamar Odom	67	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	16.4	13.7	2.68	16.7	13.8	2.87
Michael Olowokandi	59	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	4	-18	16.0	15.2	0.73	16.3	15.2	1.11
Darius Miles	64	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.25	-8	-2	-6	14.8	17.9	-3.13	14.9	18.3	-3.46
Jeff McInnis	62	62	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	8	-26	16.0	15.1	0.96	16.1	15.4	0.70

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	36	35	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.14	16	-6	22	14.2	17.1	-2.86	16.5	15.2	1.28
Vin Baker	60	60	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-4	18	14.9	17.8	-2.91	15.3	16.6	-1.30
Brent Barry	46	44	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-4	18	15.0	16.8	-1.82	16.0	15.5	0.44
Ruben Patterson	51	51	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	1	8	15.0	17.1	-2.06	15.3	16.3	-1.03
Gary Payton	74	74	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	4	2	16.1	15.2	0.92	15.1	18.4	-3.30
Emanual Davis	64	66	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	10	-10	16.2	15.1	1.10	16.2	14.6	1.55
Rashard Lewis	62	63	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	11	-12	16.8	14.0	2.87	15.3	16.6	-1.22
Jelani McCoy	31	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	14	-18	17.8	14.9	2.91	16.6	15.3	1.30
Patrick Ewing	31	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	14	-18	17.8	14.9	2.91	16.6	15.3	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.89,0.8,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 78, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.1%
MIN 90, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%
UTA 91, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.78,0.91,1	92.5%