NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	8.3 [226]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): +27.0%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	2.5 [272]		LVP	Robin Lopez (CHI): -26.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	13	50%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.04	26	60%	0.21	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.02	0.05	-0.06	-0.02	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.11	0.01	18	72%	0.31	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	8	72%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.14	-0.01	10	43%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	55%	0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.15,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	18	34%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.22,-0.27	-0.27	-0.07	-0.19	0.01	20	40%	-0.16	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	25.5	14.5	24.6	2.4	35.2	128.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +11.2%

UTA -0.1%

CHI +7.8%

CHI +30.7%

CHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	13.2	14.7	97.1	100.0	107.5
season	15.1	14.2		106.6	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.6		110.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	14.7	14.3	15.0	14.8
CHI	12.0	13.5	11.8	15.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	58	56	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.15	14	-17	31	14.4	15.3	-0.82	12.7	13.7	-1.08
Joe Ingles	67	65	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.33	15	-18	33	14.5	15.3	-0.77	13.6	12.4	1.25
Thabo Sefolosha	34	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-5	7	14.1	15.1	-0.98	14.5	12.5	2.06
Ricky Rubio	56	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-6	9	15.2	14.3	0.97	13.1	13.3	-0.20
Royce O'Neale	6	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	1	-5	11.7	15.0	-3.33	12.2	13.2	-1.05
Jonas Jerebko	42	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	9	-21	16.7	13.5	3.26	10.9	14.6	-3.73
Donovan Mitchell	82	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	2	-7	14.6	15.5	-0.84	12.9	14.0	-1.16
Rodney Hood	54	54	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	1	-5	14.9	14.7	0.17	13.1	13.2	-0.02
Alec Burks	53	55	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.29	-13	10	-23	14.2	15.5	-1.27	13.6	12.6	1.03
Derrick Favors	63	66	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.37	-11	8	-19	15.1	14.4	0.66	13.9	11.9	2.01

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Nwaba	60	60	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.46	15	-12	27	13.5	12.6	0.95	14.8	14.8	0.07
Kris Dunn	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	0	3	12.6	14.5	-1.85	15.0	14.4	0.57
Nikola Mirotic	76	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	0	3	13.1	13.2	-0.04	14.4	16.1	-1.74
Bobby Portis	49	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	-2	7	12.5	13.8	-1.27	15.2	14.5	0.78
Robin Lopez	76	77	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	5	-7	13.4	12.4	1.01	15.0	14.2	0.77
Paul Zipser	22	22	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-2	7	14.6	12.8	1.88	14.1	15.0	-0.85
Denzel Valentine	77	75	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.38	-9	12	-21	13.3	12.8	0.47	14.8	14.7	0.13
Jerian Grant	31	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	3	-3	14.5	12.6	1.85	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Justin Holiday	52	54	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	12.2	14.2	-2.02	15.0	14.6	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.48,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.66,0.76,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.96,1	92.2%
PHX 102, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.78,0.65,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	91.7%
POR 113, NOP 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.91,1,1	91.6%