NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	7.9 [301]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +19.4%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	13.2 [69]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -50.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	14	66%	0.27	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.00	6	57%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.03	0.05	8	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
JR Smith	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.10	-0.01	10	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	8	44%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	-0.50	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.5	-0.04	-0.44	0.01	25	50%	-0.16	5	-0.34	4	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.11	-0.01	11	67%	0.25	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.08	11	85%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	11	46%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	75%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	21	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	0.07	7	53%	-0.09	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.07	-0.16	0.04	16	37%	-0.19	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.6	26.3	15.4	25.5	2.3	40.4	137.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.4%

CLE -7.5%

CLE -11.9%

IND +25.7%

IND +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.7	97.9	100.0	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		111.2	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.7	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.6	14.7	17.7	15.0	15.0
IND	17.4	13.6	11.1	17.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	48	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-4	6	15.3	14.7	0.60	13.9	15.4	-1.50
Kyle Korver	37	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	3	-8	14.1	15.6	-1.50	15.2	14.4	0.77
JR Smith	63	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-6	10	15.5	14.1	1.46	14.9	14.4	0.51
Cedi Osman	34	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	5	-12	14.1	15.5	-1.46	14.1	15.0	-0.97
Kevin Love	75	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.54	9	-11	20	15.1	14.8	0.25	15.3	12.8	2.53
Tristan Thompson	39	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	4	-10	15.3	14.8	0.54	16.2	13.7	2.46
Jose Calderon	66	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.54	8	-10	18	15.0	15.1	-0.08	14.5	15.1	-0.66
Jeff Green	40	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	7	-16	14.5	15.4	-0.87	13.4	15.7	-2.35
LeBron James	83	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.46	-6	4	-10	15.3	13.2	2.10	14.6	15.0	-0.38

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	69	70	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.53	8	-6	14	14.5	15.1	-0.55	15.7	13.3	2.32
Victor Oladipo	81	81	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.67	3	-1	4	14.3	16.4	-2.03	15.2	14.1	1.06
Lance Stephenson	62	61	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-12	26	14.2	15.5	-1.22	14.8	15.3	-0.47
Thaddeus Young	80	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.59	-2	4	-6	14.6	15.2	-0.60	15.0	14.9	0.08
Domantas Sabonis	55	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	3	-4	15.4	13.8	1.58	15.3	14.6	0.75
Bojan Bogdanovic	61	59	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.27	-1	3	-4	14.0	15.9	-1.97	15.4	14.4	0.97
TJ Leaf	13	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	4	-6	16.5	14.4	2.06	13.4	15.2	-1.82
Al Jefferson	30	30	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.14	-3	5	-8	15.7	14.2	1.43	14.3	15.3	-0.98
Cory Joseph	34	34	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.25	-6	8	-14	15.5	14.2	1.26	13.5	15.8	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.12,0.28,0.27,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.53,0.59,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.29,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.12,0.17,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.74,1	89.4%
NOH 100, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.78,0.96,1	89.1%
CLE 105, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.2,0.28,0.32,0.63,1	88.9%