NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Excitement	7.6 [317]		MVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): +33.7%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	14.0 [172]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -23.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0.34	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.29,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.34	0.17	0.17	0.01	13	82%	0.34	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25	0.19	0.10	0.04	9	106%	0.26	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.01	0.12	-0.05	13	48%	0.19	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.11	-0.03	12	45%	-0.07	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
CJ Miles	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.05	7	0%	-0.13	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-0.02	9	63%	-0.01	7	-0.22	9	89%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.18	0.00	13	73%	0.40	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2	0.20	-0.01	0.18	-0.03	7	57%	0.23	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.02	6	71%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.06	0.05	6	81%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.02	16	62%	0.08	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.05	6	36%	0.00	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	9	17%	-0.15	1	0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	14	32%	-0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.6	31.6	15.7	26.0	1.8	31.8	134.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +6.6%

PHX +6.1%

PHX +22.7%

PHX +8.9%

PHX +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	13.7	15.4	105.0	105.9	104.1
season	15.5	15.2		102.5	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.3	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.1	14.1	15.8	16.0	14.9
PHX	13.6	13.6	14.3	13.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donald Sloan	12	12	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-2	2	15.1	14.9	0.16	12.5	13.9	-1.39
Daniel Gibson	47	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	2	-6	14.7	15.2	-0.45	12.7	14.7	-2.01
Samardo Samuels	50	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	8	-18	14.5	15.3	-0.80	12.6	14.9	-2.31
CJ Miles	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	8	-18	16.2	14.5	1.68	13.2	13.9	-0.75
Anderson Varejao	74	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.58	12	-14	26	14.7	15.6	-0.86	14.2	12.5	1.64
Alonzo Gee	75	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.53	8	-10	18	14.5	16.2	-1.68	13.9	13.2	0.75
Kyrie Irving	79	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-7	12	14.4	16.9	-2.49	14.0	12.6	1.45
Tristan Thompson	74	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	5	-12	15.7	12.8	2.88	14.1	12.6	1.59
Dion Waiters	64	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.55	-4	2	-6	15.4	14.1	1.38	14.3	12.8	1.50

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	53	53	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.53	13	-11	24	12.3	15.2	-2.91	14.6	15.3	-0.76
Marcin Gortat	78	76	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.47	12	-10	22	13.4	14.7	-1.32	15.7	12.4	3.38
Shannon Brown	57	56	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.47	7	-5	12	12.9	14.7	-1.82	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Michael Beasley	52	53	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.54	-5	7	-12	14.0	13.4	0.61	14.8	15.1	-0.39
Goran Dragic	72	72	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.47	-7	9	-16	14.0	13.0	0.97	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Sebastian Telfair	48	48	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.21	12	-10	22	14.0	13.5	0.57	14.1	15.7	-1.61
Jared Dudley	44	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	7	-12	14.7	12.9	1.82	15.2	14.7	0.47
Markieff Morris	50	49	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.12	-3	5	-8	13.9	13.5	0.35	15.3	14.6	0.76
Luis Scola	51	49	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.08	-14	16	-30	14.5	13.0	1.51	14.9	15.0	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.2,0.28,0.32,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 100, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.78,0.96,1	89.0%
CLE 95, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.12,0.28,0.27,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.53,0.59,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.29,0.55,0.73,1	88.9%
NOK 91, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.23,0.58,1	88.3%