NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	10.3 [54]		MVP	Shane Larkin (BOS): +25.4%
Brooklyn Nets	85		Comeback	2.3 [646]		LVP	Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (BKN): -23.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Larkin	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.08	0.17	-0.00	4	90%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jayson Tatum	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.22	-0.00	0.21	-0.01	15	47%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	8	20%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Kyrie Irving	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.13	-0.00	-0.13	-0.00	22	44%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Aron Baynes	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	14	36%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.11	0.00	14	33%	-0.17	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.05

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Milton Doyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	12	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	11	35%	-0.09	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	0.00	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.12,-0.16	-0.16	0.01	-0.17	0.00	15	57%	-0.00	4	-0.16	5	100%	0.04
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	15	24%	-0.24	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	27.6	12.8	32.2	2.4	31.6	131.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +53.9%

BKN -11.4%

BKN -25.2%

BOS +34.0%

BKN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	14.7	93.5	87.6	107.5
season	15.1	14.7		106.4	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.7		109.4	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.5	14.4	13.6	17.1	15.1
BKN	17.2	13.3	15.2	15.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	64	66	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.51	10	-8	18	15.2	14.8	0.44	14.8	16.1	-1.30
Kyrie Irving	73	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.44	7	-5	12	15.3	14.1	1.17	15.4	14.7	0.73
Jaylen Brown	67	70	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.54	1	1	0	15.7	13.5	2.12	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Semi Ojeleye	12	13	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	17.9	14.6	3.27	12.5	15.7	-3.13
Daniel Theis	38	40	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	-3	8	14.3	15.6	-1.31	13.7	16.3	-2.63
Marcus Smart	57	59	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.40	-5	7	-12	16.3	13.1	3.28	13.7	17.6	-3.92
Shane Larkin	28	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	-1	4	13.5	15.7	-2.19	15.5	15.2	0.30
Aron Baynes	39	39	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.13	-2	4	-6	14.5	15.5	-0.95	18.4	13.1	5.29
Terry Rozier	38	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	6	-10	14.0	15.8	-1.80	14.2	16.0	-1.74
Marcus Morris	49	52	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.08	-7	9	-16	14.3	16.0	-1.69	17.6	12.6	5.02

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	41	40	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.08	7	-9	16	14.3	15.9	-1.61	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Milton Doyle	13	11	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-3	4	17.4	14.9	2.47	14.8	15.1	-0.28
Jarrett Allen	22	22	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-6	10	11.3	16.4	-5.14	15.2	15.0	0.15
Nik Stauskas	34	32	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-4	6	13.6	16.1	-2.46	14.1	15.6	-1.53
Tyler Zeller	29	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-1	0	20.1	13.2	6.93	14.0	15.5	-1.50
Jahlil Okafor	27	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	1	-4	15.5	15.2	0.32	14.0	15.4	-1.40
Joe Harris	67	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-1	0	13.2	19.9	-6.69	15.7	13.6	2.10
Spencer Dinwiddie	71	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	-1	0	15.4	14.9	0.44	15.4	14.0	1.38
Allen Crabbe	65	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	2	-6	16.1	13.6	2.47	14.9	15.5	-0.58
DeMarre Carroll	60	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	3	-8	16.0	14.1	1.93	15.6	14.1	1.52
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	56	53	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.52	-9	7	-16	15.9	14.3	1.61	15.3	14.8	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 106, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.28,0	91.9%
SEA 96, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	91.0%
ORL 94, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.47,0.54,0.23,0.42,0	90.9%