NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	8.5 [172]		MVP	Loy Vaught (LAC): +24.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	3.9 [490]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): -41.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.01	17	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	18	55%	0.16	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	59%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Derek Strong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Horace Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.07
Gerald Wilkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.00	6	56%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Nick Anderson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	8	19%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.2,-0.2,-0.34,-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.00	14	35%	-0.12	3	-0.21	6	33%	-0.09

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Loy Vaught	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.12	0.01	20	67%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.01	7	80%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.06
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	4	50%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.14	-0.01	9	40%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.42	-0.42	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	12	31%	-0.39	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	0.8	27.4	14.6	25.0	2.0	29.6	128.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +41.7%

LAC -20.5%

ORL +29.2%

LAC -6.2%

ORL +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	15.4	15.6	103.3	102.2	104.4
season	16.4	15.8		102.9	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.6	17.2	15.9	17.7	16.3
LAC	13.6	14.8	16.1	17.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	67	69	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.48	6	-5	11	16.5	15.7	0.75	15.9	13.8	2.13
Anfernee Hardaway	66	68	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.45	5	-4	9	16.6	15.5	1.08	15.5	15.0	0.57
Nick Anderson	67	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.63	-3	4	-7	16.3	16.2	0.08	15.2	16.0	-0.85
Brian Shaw	37	37	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.42	-5	6	-11	16.7	15.9	0.79	15.8	15.1	0.67
Derek Strong	44	43	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.31	-3	4	-7	15.6	16.9	-1.21	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Dennis Scott	62	63	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	-5	11	16.0	16.9	-0.98	14.9	16.4	-1.51
Rony Seikaly	72	71	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	2	-3	16.6	15.1	1.46	15.0	16.8	-1.88
Gerald Wilkins	40	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.13	0	1	-1	15.6	16.8	-1.18	15.9	15.0	0.83

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	43	44	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.08	5	-6	11	14.2	16.4	-2.23	16.2	16.3	-0.03
Terry Dehere	25	26	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-2	3	15.2	15.5	-0.31	15.8	16.4	-0.64
Bo Outlaw	42	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-2	3	15.2	15.5	-0.32	15.3	17.1	-1.73
Lamond Murray	21	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-1	1	15.1	15.5	-0.31	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Rodney Rogers	48	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-5	9	14.4	16.4	-2.00	16.7	15.8	0.93
Lorenzen Wright	71	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	6	-13	16.2	12.5	3.70	16.6	15.3	1.23
Eric Piatkowski	9	8	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.35	2	-3	5	13.6	15.6	-2.03	19.5	16.0	3.55
Loy Vaught	91	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	15.4	0.0	15.38	16.3	0.0	16.26
Malik Sealy	57	57	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.54	-4	3	-7	15.8	14.7	1.04	16.0	16.7	-0.66
Darrick Martin	48	47	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.55	-6	5	-11	16.4	14.2	2.23	16.3	16.2	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.47,0.54,0.23,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 107, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.37,0.17,0.42,0	91.6%
BOS 87, BKN 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.42,0	90.9%
CLE 93, GSW 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.52,0.43,0.42,0	90.8%