NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	4.3 [986]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +25.7%
Washington Wizards	121		Comeback	2.2 [960]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NYK): -10.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Frank Ntilikina	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	10	62%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	63%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.12	14	65%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	11	42%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.23	0.02	-0.00	14	84%	0.27	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.00	0.00	10	78%	0.15	3	-0.05	7	43%	-0.04
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	18	56%	0.11	3	-0.05	9	67%	0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	5	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	26.4	14.0	26.6	1.8	26.4	124.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.4%

NYK -1.4%

WAS +1.0%

WAS +10.8%

WAS +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.7	105.1	123.5	107.5
season	14.9	14.8		105.9	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.5		107.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	14.3	14.3	16.2	14.9
WAS	14.5	12.8	13.9	17.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	48	49	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.00	2	-20	22	14.6	15.2	-0.64	16.1	12.9	3.12
Kyle O'Quinn	50	48	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	-17	16	14.4	15.4	-1.00	14.7	14.3	0.41
Ron Baker	37	38	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-19	20	13.9	15.5	-1.51	15.5	13.9	1.59
Frank Ntilikina	38	39	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-17	16	14.8	14.9	-0.16	16.0	13.5	2.49
Damyean Dotson	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	17.5	14.8	2.67	23.5	14.3	9.19
Willy Hernangomez	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	17.5	14.8	2.67	23.5	14.3	9.19
Michael Beasley	54	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-20	22	14.5	15.4	-0.86	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Jarrett Jack	60	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.01	-17	-1	-16	14.9	14.8	0.16	13.5	16.0	-2.49
Kristaps Porzingis	74	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.05	-16	-2	-14	14.9	15.0	-0.09	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Lance Thomas	29	30	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	0	-18	15.8	14.5	1.29	13.9	14.8	-0.91
Courtney Lee	59	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	-2	-14	15.4	14.1	1.26	13.6	15.9	-2.32
Enes Kanter	37	38	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.05	-20	2	-22	15.7	14.4	1.35	13.3	15.3	-1.98

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	68	68	0.71	-0.21	0.91	-0.09	27	-9	36	14.1	15.5	-1.44	15.2	14.2	0.99
Bradley Beal	76	76	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.00	24	-6	30	13.8	16.8	-2.99	14.8	15.3	-0.50
John Wall	71	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.13	27	-9	36	14.0	15.9	-1.92	15.2	14.1	1.05
Marcin Gortat	60	61	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.08	24	-6	30	13.8	15.6	-1.72	15.7	13.6	2.03
Otto Porter Jr.	72	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.01	20	-2	22	13.8	16.3	-2.46	15.2	14.2	0.97
Kelly Oubre Jr.	26	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	20	-22	16.3	13.8	2.46	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Ian Mahinmi	38	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	24	-30	15.6	13.8	1.72	13.6	15.7	-2.03
Tomas Satoransky	27	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	27	-36	15.9	14.0	1.92	14.1	15.2	-1.05
Jodie Meeks	22	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	24	-30	16.8	13.8	2.99	15.3	14.8	0.50
Mike Scott	30	30	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	27	-36	15.5	14.1	1.44	14.2	15.2	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, BOS 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHX 88, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DET 87, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%