NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	5.3 [775]		MVP	Vince Carter (SAC): +30.7%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	1.7 [182]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -16.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.01	-0.00	12	77%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
JR Smith	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.04	9	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tristan Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	17	41%	-0.06	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.23	0.12	0.04	12	100%	0.34	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	14	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	84%	0.21	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	5	71%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	13	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Frank Mason	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	0.05	10	41%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	1.8	25.5	15.4	25.7	1.7	25.6	125.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.8%

SAC +3.8%

SAC +7.7%

SAC +4.2%

CLE -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	13.4	17.8	14.7	103.3	118.5	107.5
season	14.8	15.4		111.2	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.1	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.1	13.8	12.1	14.6	13.4
SAC	17.6	16.2	17.9	19.7	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	43	43	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.18	13	-27	40	12.3	14.3	-1.96	19.0	16.7	2.27
Kevin Love	54	55	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.06	2	-16	18	12.9	14.0	-1.07	19.6	15.2	4.40
JR Smith	56	55	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-19	24	12.7	14.5	-1.81	19.1	15.8	3.36
Cedi Osman	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	10.3	13.5	-3.14	21.2	17.6	3.61
Jae Crowder	56	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-16	18	12.5	14.7	-2.18	18.0	17.4	0.65
LeBron James	73	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-3	-8	13.6	12.6	0.93	18.0	17.1	0.82
Tristan Thompson	27	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-5	-4	13.4	13.4	0.00	16.3	18.4	-2.08
Channing Frye	21	21	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	-1	-12	16.0	12.6	3.47	14.3	18.8	-4.48
Dwyane Wade	37	37	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	6	-26	14.0	13.0	1.01	16.4	18.8	-2.41
Jeff Green	49	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.14	-15	1	-16	13.3	13.4	-0.09	17.1	18.6	-1.43
Kyle Korver	41	40	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.11	-27	13	-40	15.2	11.9	3.29	16.1	19.1	-3.00

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	67	69	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.02	28	-14	42	17.0	19.9	-2.87	14.5	9.9	4.67
Buddy Hield	47	47	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.01	25	-11	36	16.7	18.9	-2.19	14.1	12.6	1.51
Vince Carter	55	57	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.03	21	-7	28	17.3	18.5	-1.11	14.0	12.3	1.66
Bogdan Bogdanovic	58	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.02	20	-6	26	17.4	18.4	-1.03	14.2	12.0	2.22
George Hill	71	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	7	0	18.6	15.1	3.50	12.9	14.9	-1.99
Justin Jackson	19	18	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	4	6	13.4	18.9	-5.51	14.1	13.2	0.92
Zach Randolph	39	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	19	-24	18.3	17.4	0.89	12.7	13.8	-1.12
Garrett Temple	53	53	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.13	-13	27	-40	19.0	16.2	2.85	12.6	14.4	-1.72
Malachi Richardson	31	30	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.00	-10	24	-34	19.2	17.1	2.11	11.4	14.3	-2.92
Frank Mason	20	19	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.08	-13	27	-40	20.2	17.1	3.07	10.4	14.2	-3.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 79, BOS 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.68,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1	93.8%
ATL 81, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
NYK 91, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.0%