NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Excitement	5.7 [715]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (MIN): +15.5%
LA Clippers	107		Comeback	1.0 [1073]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (LAC): -18.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.03	-0.02	12	66%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	14	64%	0.18	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Teague	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	14	61%	0.13	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	80%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	16	47%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.01	20	55%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	12	67%	0.13	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jawun Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamil Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.06	0.05	18	56%	-0.04	2	-0.02	5	60%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	0.01	13	25%	-0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.8	26.2	14.0	27.5	2.7	29.5	127.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +46.6%

MIN +16.5%

LAC -1.1%

LAC -14.2%

MIN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	14.7	115.3	111.5	107.5
season	15.3	14.2		111.8	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.4		109.0	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.9	13.4	12.7	16.0	13.9
LAC	16.1	15.4	15.6	16.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	77	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	-3	12	14.1	13.0	1.14	16.1	14.6	1.43
Jimmy Butler	87	86	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-3	12	13.9	14.2	-0.29	16.0	13.5	2.55
Taj Gibson	75	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	1	4	12.9	17.1	-4.18	16.1	14.7	1.48
Andrew Wiggins	75	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	1	4	12.9	17.1	-4.18	16.1	14.7	1.48
Jeff Teague	76	74	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	2	2	13.2	16.5	-3.32	16.5	13.4	3.14
Tyus Jones	22	22	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	4	-2	16.5	13.2	3.32	13.4	16.5	-3.14
Jamal Crawford	34	33	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	8	-10	16.2	12.7	3.44	14.3	16.6	-2.25
Gorgui Dieng	41	42	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	8	-10	15.3	12.9	2.39	14.6	16.7	-2.02

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamil Wilson	33	33	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.27	10	-16	26	14.9	16.2	-1.33	14.6	13.6	1.02
Sam Dekker	13	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-1	-4	15.2	15.9	-0.64	11.1	14.4	-3.30
Sindarius Thornwell	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-9	12	16.7	15.4	1.34	14.9	13.5	1.40
Montrezl Harrell	26	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-5	4	13.4	16.7	-3.29	16.3	13.0	3.27
C.J. Williams	25	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	5	-16	16.2	15.6	0.57	11.8	14.6	-2.83
Jawun Evans	22	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	1	-8	14.9	16.1	-1.19	15.0	13.6	1.34
Lou Williams	71	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.49	8	-14	22	15.6	16.2	-0.57	14.4	12.3	2.12
Wesley Johnson	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	0	-6	15.2	17.2	-2.02	13.6	14.5	-0.91
DeAndre Jordan	69	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	16.7	13.5	3.20	13.3	15.3	-2.01
Danilo Gallinari	51	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	5	-16	16.5	15.0	1.51	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Austin Rivers	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	16.2	14.2	2.02	13.7	14.8	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.22,0.2,0.08,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, PHI 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.6%
MIA 90, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.02,0	94.5%
IND 119, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.05,0,0,0	94.4%