NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	7.6 [355]		MVP	Deyonta Davis (MEM): +11.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	2.4 [375]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (MIN): -17.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	83%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Tyus Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	6	86%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	10	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	0.02	-0.17	-0.00	6	50%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	17	35%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.1,-0.17	0.12	-0.28	0.02	21	61%	0.03	2	-0.21	7	86%	0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	11	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	2	100%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	14	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.02
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.06	-0.00	6	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	-0.00	14	53%	0.07	3	-0.20	2	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	27.4	14.8	25.3	2.4	30.4	125.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +46.5%

MEM +9.9%

MEM +8.5%

MIN -18.9%

MEM +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	14.7	102.2	104.4	107.5
season	15.3	15.4		111.8	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.4		109.8	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.0	15.1	16.4	18.1	16.6
MEM	13.8	14.9	16.3	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	31	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.05	-5	2	-7	16.9	16.4	0.53	13.5	16.2	-2.73
Jamal Crawford	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	1	-5	16.5	16.7	-0.18	13.6	16.5	-2.89
Jimmy Butler	74	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-6	9	16.4	17.3	-0.88	16.1	11.1	5.00
Gorgui Dieng	39	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	7	-17	17.1	16.2	0.91	14.6	15.7	-1.15
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.46	5	-8	13	16.3	17.9	-1.62	15.4	14.5	0.89
Taj Gibson	69	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-2	1	16.6	16.4	0.21	15.4	14.6	0.76
Jeff Teague	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-5	7	16.4	16.9	-0.53	16.2	13.5	2.73
Andrew Wiggins	67	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	2	-7	16.8	15.9	0.91	15.2	15.3	-0.08

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	71	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-10	23	14.3	18.5	-4.18	17.1	14.4	2.68
Dillon Brooks	52	53	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.49	3	0	3	15.2	15.3	-0.16	16.7	16.5	0.17
Tyreke Evans	64	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-5	13	14.4	17.3	-2.97	17.4	14.7	2.64
Andrew Harrison	32	33	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.47	-3	6	-9	17.2	14.2	3.00	15.8	17.1	-1.26
Marc Gasol	66	65	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.43	-5	8	-13	15.9	13.5	2.43	16.1	17.8	-1.73
Deyonta Davis	21	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	-2	7	13.2	15.8	-2.60	17.5	16.3	1.22
Ben McLemore	35	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	4	-5	14.6	15.7	-1.09	16.1	16.9	-0.86
James Ennis III	51	47	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	1	1	15.6	14.8	0.79	16.5	16.7	-0.21
Jarell Martin	24	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	10	-17	17.9	14.3	3.58	15.4	17.0	-1.62
Mario Chalmers	39	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.08	0	3	-3	15.3	15.2	0.16	16.5	16.7	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.32,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.41,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.84,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.45,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.85,1	91.8%
LAC 91, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.74,1	91.6%
CHH 87, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.5,0.52,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.53,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.74,1	91.5%