NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	116		Excitement	5.2 [801]		MVP	Darren Collison (IND): +25.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	113		Comeback	1.0 [558]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (IND): -7.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.25	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25	0.22	0.05	0.01	13	79%	0.27	1	-0.01	12	100%	0.05
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1	0.13	-0.03	0.01	9	89%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	48%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Victor Oladipo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	20	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	62%	0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	8	28%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.05	0.01	7	87%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.05	0.15	-0.05	0.05	24	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	89%	0.07	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	15	49%	0.02	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	9	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	26.6	14.8	26.6	2.7	42.2	139.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.1%

IND +1.5%

MEM -2.6%

MEM -3.0%

IND +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MEM	NBA	IND	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	14.6	14.7	116.0	114.1	107.5
season	14.8	15.4		108.3	103.4
opponent	14.6	15.0		109.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.1	15.0	13.9	15.5	14.3
MEM	14.1	13.8	14.4	16.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	85	85	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-9	21	14.1	15.3	-1.20	14.9	12.9	1.99
Thaddeus Young	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	-2	7	14.9	13.0	1.91	14.9	14.0	0.91
Myles Turner	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	0	3	14.0	14.9	-0.92	14.8	14.3	0.52
Bojan Bogdanovic	59	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	0	3	13.9	14.9	-0.92	15.0	14.1	0.95
Victor Oladipo	70	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	5	-7	14.1	14.7	-0.60	14.6	14.8	-0.22
Lance Stephenson	41	38	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	3	-3	14.9	13.9	0.92	14.1	15.0	-0.95
Domantas Sabonis	52	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	3	-3	13.8	14.8	-1.01	14.2	15.1	-0.85
Cory Joseph	46	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	8	-13	14.7	14.0	0.67	14.0	15.2	-1.21
TJ Leaf	12	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	4	-5	15.5	14.1	1.35	14.6	14.6	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	39	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.15	5	-8	13	14.5	14.7	-0.20	14.3	14.3	-0.00
Brandan Wright	40	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.22	4	-7	11	15.1	14.3	0.78	14.8	13.9	0.86
Wayne Selden	32	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	1	-5	14.5	14.7	-0.20	13.8	14.5	-0.73
JaMychal Green	37	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	5	-13	14.3	14.9	-0.58	14.1	14.4	-0.29
James Ennis III	34	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	5	-13	15.1	14.4	0.73	14.6	14.1	0.47
Mario Chalmers	61	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-8	13	14.5	14.8	-0.25	14.7	13.6	1.09
Chandler Parsons	51	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-6	9	14.9	14.4	0.51	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Dillon Brooks	52	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	8	-19	14.3	15.0	-0.73	13.8	14.8	-1.01
Marc Gasol	81	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	15.0	13.1	1.86	14.4	14.0	0.39
Tyreke Evans	68	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-2	1	14.2	15.5	-1.33	14.1	14.7	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.5%
ORL 100, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
DEN 120, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%