NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	4.0 [989]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +10.8%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	1.0 [1017]		LVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): -10.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	16	65%	0.17	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Shane Battier	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	6	86%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	11	58%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	18	58%	0.09	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Mike James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	9	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.06	20	63%	0.12	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	28	52%	0.11	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	0.06	12	42%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	0.05	10	45%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	25.5	14.8	25.5	2.4	34.6	128.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.2%

HOU +0.4%

NJN -9.6%

HOU +15.0%

HOU +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NJN	NBA	HOU	NJN	NBA
this game	16.3	14.9	15.4	103.2	96.7	105.7
season	16.2	15.4		104.6	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.1	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	17.2	18.6	15.0	16.3
NJN	14.8	17.0	13.5	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	82	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	0	7	16.4	15.4	1.01	14.2	19.3	-5.13
Shane Battier	73	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	1	5	15.6	18.6	-2.98	13.8	18.3	-4.49
Rafer Alston	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	2	3	14.8	19.6	-4.84	13.9	17.1	-3.22
Yao Ming	74	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	4	-1	16.6	14.8	1.78	15.1	14.1	1.01
Bonzi Wells	60	59	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.39	-4	11	-15	16.5	15.8	0.78	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Charles Hayes	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	-2	11	15.7	16.5	-0.87	15.6	14.5	1.13
Luis Scola	27	28	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	-1	9	17.5	15.8	1.72	16.5	14.2	2.34
Steve Francis	33	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	7	-7	17.1	15.8	1.24	15.9	14.3	1.57
Mike James	20	21	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	6	-5	18.6	15.6	2.98	18.3	13.8	4.49

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	38	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-12	17	14.4	15.2	-0.72	16.5	16.1	0.33
Eddie Gill	20	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-6	5	18.3	13.9	4.38	18.7	15.6	3.12
Malik Allen	34	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-3	-1	15.8	14.3	1.51	16.0	16.4	-0.35
Sean Williams	21	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	0	-7	16.0	14.5	1.53	18.3	15.7	2.62
Bostjan Nachbar	54	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-10	13	14.3	15.7	-1.48	16.5	15.9	0.61
Jason Collins	39	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	2	-11	15.9	14.1	1.83	16.6	16.0	0.64
Antoine Wright	28	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	2	-11	14.8	14.9	-0.12	16.3	16.2	0.09
Richard Jefferson	80	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-6	5	14.5	17.0	-2.45	15.7	20.3	-4.55
Vince Carter	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	14.6	16.1	-1.47	15.9	17.8	-1.95
Jason Kidd	72	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	13.9	18.3	-4.38	15.6	18.7	-3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
NYK 95, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
SAC 116, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.8%