NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	105		Excitement	8.9 [161]		MVP	Darius Miller (NOP): +82.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	106		Comeback	6.2 [357]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -48.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Cavanaugh	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.18	0.18	-0.02	7	114%	0.38	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32	0.08	0.11	-0.13	15	61%	0.33	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.14
Marco Belinelli	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.22	0.06	0.16	0.00	10	70%	0.27	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	5	110%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	0.00	10	60%	0.14	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Delaney	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.48	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.48	-0.17	-0.34	-0.02	18	30%	-0.11	4	-0.38	1	100%	0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.82	0.82	0.21	0.57	-0.04	11	95%	0.82	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	18	67%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	12	54%	0.18	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cheick Diallo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	65%	0.16	7	-0.20	10	70%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.04	7	68%	0.05	5	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	24.5	14.5	23.2	1.8	33.3	126.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +49.0%

ATL -18.1%

ATL -4.1%

NOP +21.7%

NOP +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NOP	NBA	ATL	NOP	NBA
this game	16.4	13.9	14.7	110.5	112.8	107.5
season	14.6	13.6		104.2	108.0
opponent	14.6	14.4		107.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	15.4	18.0	17.9	16.4
NOP	12.4	14.0	13.3	16.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Taylor	28	29	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.05	8	-9	17	17.5	15.9	1.61	15.5	13.2	2.33
Tyler Cavanaugh	36	34	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.12	3	-4	7	17.6	15.7	1.91	13.1	14.4	-1.32
Kent Bazemore	61	56	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.16	9	-10	19	14.9	19.1	-4.23	15.5	11.5	4.04
Malcolm Delaney	38	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-11	21	17.0	16.0	0.96	14.7	13.3	1.43
Dewayne Dedmon	27	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-4	7	14.9	17.0	-2.16	13.3	14.1	-0.88
Luke Babbitt	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-1	1	16.1	16.9	-0.78	13.0	15.5	-2.48
Taurean Prince	65	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-1	1	16.4	16.3	0.15	13.5	14.8	-1.35
Marco Belinelli	51	54	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	12	-25	17.5	15.2	2.27	13.5	14.4	-0.95
John Collins	40	42	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.24	-16	15	-31	17.1	15.9	1.30	14.5	13.4	1.03
Dennis Schroder	67	65	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.47	-9	8	-17	15.9	17.5	-1.61	13.2	15.5	-2.33

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	73	75	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.58	7	-6	13	13.5	15.4	-1.96	16.9	14.7	2.15
Jrue Holiday	84	87	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.39	8	-7	15	14.2	11.7	2.47	16.3	17.7	-1.47
E'Twaun Moore	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	-5	11	14.0	13.7	0.27	16.7	15.8	0.87
Darius Miller	42	40	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.51	-6	7	-13	14.3	13.6	0.73	17.0	15.9	1.08
Jameer Nelson	42	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.53	-10	11	-21	14.8	13.2	1.59	17.0	15.9	1.08
DeMarcus Cousins	71	74	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	0	1	13.9	14.0	-0.07	15.1	20.9	-5.72
Dante Cunningham	38	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	0	1	13.2	14.4	-1.21	15.9	16.7	-0.82
Rajon Rondo	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	1	-1	9.8	14.4	-4.59	19.0	16.1	2.91
Ian Clark	40	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.09	1	0	1	14.5	13.4	1.12	15.9	16.8	-0.91
Cheick Diallo	4	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	4	-7	12.5	14.0	-1.47	22.0	16.2	5.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.69,0.36,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 82, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.27,1	90.7%
MIL 88, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.58,1	90.5%
NYK 87, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.4,0.25,0.45,0.44,0.42,1	90.4%