NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	82		Excitement	9.4 [85]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +9.8%
San Antonio Spurs	83		Comeback	5.9 [268]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -48.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	14	61%	0.11	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Jake Voskuhl	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.05	-0.03	9	50%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Cezary Trybanski	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	-0.03	10	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19	-0.06	-0.14	-0.01	9	33%	-0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	4	50%	-0.05	6	-0.34	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.49	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.49	0.02	-0.50	0.01	22	52%	-0.45	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	13	69%	0.16	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	5	45%	-0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	7	31%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	15	33%	-0.07	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.12	-0.18	-0.01	7	33%	-0.17	2	-0.12	7	71%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.8	33.0	18.8	29.2	3.4	37.6	151.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +51.8%

SAS +5.0%

PHX -9.8%

SAS +0.6%

SAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.7	87.2	90.2	100.5
season	14.6	15.9		99.6	100.1
opponent	15.8	15.9		92.7	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	14.8	15.4	17.5	15.2
SAS	14.7	16.5	14.6	17.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	62	63	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.08	11	-12	23	14.9	15.9	-1.05	16.3	14.5	1.82
Amar'e Stoudemire	43	44	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.13	12	-13	25	14.3	16.0	-1.76	17.2	14.4	2.85
Cezary Trybanski	0	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-1	1	0.0	15.2	-15.21	20.0	15.7	4.29
Brevin Knight	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	2	-5	17.2	14.9	2.34	15.5	15.8	-0.24
Casey Jacobsen	14	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	3	-7	15.1	15.2	-0.08	15.5	15.8	-0.35
Shawn Marion	77	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.50	3	-4	7	15.4	14.5	0.91	15.3	17.9	-2.60
Anfernee Hardaway	29	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	4	-9	15.4	15.1	0.34	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Stephon Marbury	82	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.49	2	-3	5	14.9	17.2	-2.34	15.8	15.5	0.24
Tom Gugliotta	36	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	13	-27	15.8	14.8	0.96	13.9	16.7	-2.80
Joe Johnson	65	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.59	4	-5	9	15.1	15.4	-0.34	15.9	15.4	0.53
Zarko Cabarkapa	50	48	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.42	-11	10	-21	15.8	14.5	1.30	15.6	15.9	-0.33

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	65	66	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.59	2	-1	3	14.6	18.5	-3.85	15.4	14.9	0.51
Bruce Bowen	60	60	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.63	-4	5	-9	16.0	15.3	0.64	14.6	16.3	-1.69
Malik Rose	44	46	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	-8	17	15.6	15.9	-0.33	15.9	14.6	1.29
Anthony Carter	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.59	-5	6	-11	16.1	14.8	1.37	14.7	16.4	-1.73
Tim Duncan	79	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.56	-4	5	-9	15.9	15.0	0.89	14.8	17.4	-2.60
Robert Horry	29	30	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	-7	15	16.2	15.6	0.65	15.9	14.9	1.06
Hedo Turkoglu	42	45	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.27	9	-8	17	15.5	16.0	-0.48	16.2	14.3	1.98
Ron Mercer	42	44	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.12	1	0	1	16.9	14.8	2.02	15.5	14.9	0.58
Rasho Nesterovic	32	33	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	12	-23	15.3	16.0	-0.74	14.6	15.5	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.4,0.25,0.45,0.44,0.42,1	91.2%
ATL 91, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.58,1	90.9%
ATL 105, NOP 106	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.69,0.36,0.33,0.42,1	90.7%