NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	92		Excitement	3.6 [1105]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +15.0%
Washington Wizards	110		Comeback	2.2 [1087]		LVP	Willie Cauley-Stein (SAC): -10.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.01	9	76%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	6	92%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	61%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georgios Papagiannis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	41%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Justin Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	42%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	0.00	-0.04	12	25%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.02	0.05	9	111%	0.19	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.03	11	69%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	8	94%	0.11	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.04	-0.03	11	56%	0.10	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	12	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris McCullough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.6	26.7	14.5	25.3	2.3	24.4	117.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +30.4%

WAS +4.6%

WAS +9.4%

WAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	17.0	15.0	14.7	103.4	120.9	107.5
season	15.4	14.8		102.9	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		107.9	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.2	16.6	17.5	16.6	17.0
WAS	14.8	12.8	15.2	17.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georgios Papagiannis	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	12.7	17.3	-4.63	18.7	14.8	3.89
Garrett Temple	39	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-13	8	18.4	15.9	2.48	13.8	16.0	-2.20
George Hill	45	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-9	0	18.2	15.8	2.36	14.3	15.8	-1.52
Willie Cauley-Stein	42	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-7	-4	18.4	15.7	2.64	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Bogdan Bogdanovic	36	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-11	4	19.1	15.5	3.61	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Skal Labissiere	48	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-9	0	15.7	18.5	-2.78	15.8	14.1	1.74
Justin Jackson	50	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-7	-4	15.5	18.8	-3.31	15.2	14.9	0.28
De'Aaron Fox	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-9	0	15.8	18.4	-2.65	16.0	13.9	2.05
Kosta Koufos	41	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-8	-2	16.2	17.7	-1.47	15.3	14.8	0.43
Zach Randolph	40	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	-6	-6	18.8	15.5	3.34	14.3	15.6	-1.26
Buddy Hield	49	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-8	-2	15.7	18.6	-2.97	15.6	14.3	1.31

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	56	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	-3	24	14.7	15.5	-0.83	17.7	15.7	1.98
John Wall	51	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.28	23	-5	28	14.2	16.1	-1.86	18.1	15.5	2.58
Bradley Beal	62	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	3	12	14.6	16.0	-1.37	17.1	16.7	0.36
Otto Porter Jr.	50	49	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	6	6	14.4	15.8	-1.40	18.1	15.6	2.43
Kelly Oubre Jr.	44	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.06	10	8	2	14.7	15.3	-0.64	15.8	18.1	-2.27
Markieff Morris	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	15	-12	14.6	15.3	-0.70	19.3	15.5	3.74
Mike Scott	52	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	10	-2	15.6	14.3	1.36	15.2	19.3	-4.13
Jodie Meeks	29	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	15	-12	16.0	14.6	1.37	16.7	17.1	-0.36
Ian Mahinmi	27	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	15	-12	15.1	15.0	0.16	16.9	17.0	-0.15
Tim Frazier	36	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	20	-22	16.2	14.2	2.01	16.0	17.6	-1.65
Tomas Satoransky	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	18.7	14.8	3.89	12.7	17.3	-4.63
Chris McCullough	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	18.7	14.8	3.89	12.7	17.3	-4.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 109, BOS 124	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 92, MEM 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CLE 80, MIL 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%