NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	113		Excitement	7.8 [320]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): +46.0%
New York Knicks	118		Comeback	12.2 [102]		LVP	Frank Ntilikina (NYK): -28.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	11	84%	0.19	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	13	54%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Treveon Graham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.01	0.10	-0.10	-0.02	17	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwayne Bacon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.11	0.02	8	57%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.11	0.01	-0.13	-0.00	16	64%	0.02	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.32,0.46	0.46	0.14	0.35	0.03	15	82%	0.60	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.05
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.22	0.14	0.01	8	105%	0.36	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	3	125%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.01	8	87%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.03
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.19	-0.01	5	25%	-0.10	3	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.7	26.4	15.3	21.2	1.8	39.8	134.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +89.8%

NYK +0.8%

CHA -18.0%

CHA -21.2%

CHA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	14.6	14.7	121.5	124.2	107.5
season	14.6	14.9		108.7	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		109.3	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.9	15.3	15.2	19.2	16.1
NYK	12.9	14.1	17.5	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	41	39	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.07	9	-14	23	15.9	16.3	-0.42	13.8	15.1	-1.31
Frank Kaminsky	38	40	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-8	11	17.8	14.9	2.97	13.4	15.4	-1.93
Treveon Graham	36	37	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-4	3	16.0	16.2	-0.19	15.1	14.2	0.84
Dwayne Bacon	34	35	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.07	-2	-3	1	15.9	16.2	-0.27	16.4	13.5	2.90
Cody Zeller	33	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	4	-13	18.2	14.9	3.20	13.6	15.1	-1.47
Dwight Howard	59	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-11	17	15.0	17.9	-2.88	15.1	13.6	1.47
Kemba Walker	65	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-8	11	15.5	17.4	-1.82	15.1	13.5	1.56
Marvin Williams	55	55	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	3	-11	14.9	17.8	-2.97	15.4	13.4	1.93
Malik Monk	52	52	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.40	-12	7	-19	17.3	14.5	2.77	13.4	15.9	-2.49
Jeremy Lamb	52	57	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.43	-14	9	-23	15.8	16.4	-0.63	14.1	15.3	-1.16

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Thomas	48	46	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.39	18	-13	31	13.6	15.5	-1.86	17.6	14.6	3.01
Frank Ntilikina	49	49	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.44	11	-6	17	13.6	15.6	-2.02	17.7	14.3	3.44
Tim Hardaway Jr.	66	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	0	5	14.3	15.2	-0.92	15.3	18.1	-2.80
Doug McDermott	52	53	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.39	6	-1	7	14.1	15.1	-1.00	17.2	14.5	2.70
Kristaps Porzingis	57	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.53	-1	6	-7	15.1	13.8	1.21	15.4	17.2	-1.85
Kyle O'Quinn	34	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	3	-1	14.0	14.9	-0.93	18.0	15.0	3.01
Courtney Lee	72	68	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.19	1	4	-3	15.2	12.7	2.41	15.7	17.0	-1.30
Jarrett Jack	46	44	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.08	-6	11	-17	15.6	13.6	2.02	14.3	17.7	-3.44
Enes Kanter	51	49	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.04	-11	16	-27	15.3	13.7	1.57	14.5	17.8	-3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.58,1	91.5%
PHX 100, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.2,0.38,0.21,0.45,0.63,1	91.4%
IND 99, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.69,1	91.3%