NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	9.1 [133]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (IND): +28.8%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	18.5 [138]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): -53.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29	0.12	0.16	-0.01	17	62%	0.29	0	0.00	13	100%	0.10
David Harrison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	8	79%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	7	29%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.31	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.15,-0.31	0.03	-0.34	0.01	20	52%	-0.21	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.49	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.5	-0.17	-0.33	-0.01	7	6%	-0.44	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Anthony Johnson	-0.54	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.42,-0.54	-0.09	-0.44	0.00	16	41%	-0.39	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.18	0.18	0.22	-0.02	0.03	21	73%	0.43	3	-0.25	10	100%	0.08
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.11	0.02	5	67%	0.29	2	-0.15	11	64%	-0.03
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	3	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.08	-0.29	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	3	-0.34	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	31.2	16.5	29.2	2.4	35.5	142.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +147.3%

HOU +4.1%

IND -46.9%

IND -47.9%

IND -6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	17.4	14.8	15.6	110.0	115.7	104.4
season	16.0	16.1		102.3	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.5		101.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	17.5	18.1	19.0	17.4
HOU	15.6	16.0	14.6	12.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	40	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-6	8	18.7	16.3	2.35	14.8	14.8	0.09
Jamaal Tinsley	33	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-1	-2	17.2	17.4	-0.20	15.4	14.5	0.90
Scot Pollard	58	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-5	6	17.5	17.1	0.38	14.6	15.2	-0.66
Peja Stojakovic	74	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-5	6	16.9	19.4	-2.52	15.1	13.4	1.73
Jeff Foster	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	17.0	18.6	-1.60	15.0	14.1	0.95
Anthony Johnson	57	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-3	2	17.4	17.2	0.20	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Sarunas Jasikevicius	39	39	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	6	-16	17.5	17.3	0.17	14.6	14.9	-0.28
Stephen Jackson	78	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	3	-10	17.3	17.9	-0.63	14.6	16.5	-1.99

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	29	30	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.33	21	-17	38	13.2	15.6	-2.36	19.2	16.4	2.80
Rafer Alston	79	80	0.79	-0.28	1.07	0.26	18	-14	32	14.5	17.2	-2.71	17.7	14.7	3.00
Keith Bogans	60	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.40	1	3	-2	14.6	15.2	-0.56	17.6	16.8	0.85
Ryan Bowen	2	2	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	1	2	0.5	15.1	-14.63	5.5	17.6	-12.14
Yao Ming	72	73	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.44	-2	6	-8	14.3	16.9	-2.58	16.9	19.3	-2.38
Dikembe Mutombo	7	8	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	-2	8	17.0	14.6	2.39	20.5	17.1	3.44
Tracy McGrady	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	0	4	15.4	14.3	1.09	17.7	17.1	0.60
Stromile Swift	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	2	0	15.7	14.3	1.49	17.8	17.1	0.72
Charles Hayes	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	3	-2	15.3	14.8	0.55	22.7	17.2	5.48
Juwan Howard	62	63	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	6	-8	15.1	14.2	0.88	17.4	17.3	0.05
Rick Brunson	10	10	-0.28	0.79	-1.07	0.13	-14	18	-32	17.2	14.5	2.71	14.7	17.7	-3.00
David Wesley	51	51	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	0.06	-18	22	-40	15.5	13.9	1.53	15.7	19.6	-3.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, PHX 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.85,1	91.5%
CHA 113, NYK 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.74,1	91.3%
UTA 101, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.97,0.72,1	91.1%