NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	119		Excitement	6.4 [585]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +23.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	124		Comeback	1.5 [827]		LVP	Matthew Dellavedova (MIL): -13.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.01	21	75%	0.40	8	-0.17	11	73%	-0.02
Mirza Teletovic	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	11	73%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	3	133%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.04	0.04	17	65%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.05	0.03	17	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	3	14%	-0.06	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JR Smith	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	0.00	12	77%	0.26	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.18	0.07	0.04	14	73%	0.27	2	-0.06	16	87%	0.04
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	20	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	5	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	-0.00	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.4	2.5	28.3	15.4	25.5	2.7	33.2	140.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -2.9%

CLE +25.6%

CLE +14.3%

CLE +12.1%

CLE +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	13.4	15.5	14.7	119.0	125.3	107.5
season	14.3	14.8		108.5	111.2
opponent	14.7	15.4		110.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.6	12.9	12.9	14.2	13.4
CLE	11.6	15.9	18.4	17.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Liggins	16	17	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-10	15	13.3	13.4	-0.12	16.5	15.3	1.19
Thon Maker	32	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-6	7	15.0	12.7	2.29	13.4	16.5	-3.13
Jason Terry	17	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	3	-11	14.6	13.2	1.42	10.0	16.6	-6.61
John Henson	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	0	-5	11.6	14.4	-2.83	18.2	14.0	4.21
Mirza Teletovic	36	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-4	3	13.6	13.3	0.36	14.5	16.2	-1.73
Tony Snell	83	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-3	1	13.7	12.2	1.42	16.1	13.0	3.07
Malcolm Brogdon	76	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-6	7	12.9	15.1	-2.26	16.6	12.0	4.62
Giannis Antetokounmpo	84	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	1	-7	13.3	13.8	-0.48	15.6	15.2	0.45
Khris Middleton	85	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-5	5	12.7	17.3	-4.62	16.2	11.5	4.71
Matthew Dellavedova	36	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	5	-15	15.5	12.2	3.22	12.4	17.1	-4.73

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	54	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	3	-1	15.7	15.4	0.31	14.0	12.7	1.30
JR Smith	74	76	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	0	5	15.9	14.4	1.53	13.5	13.1	0.38
Iman Shumpert	40	39	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	4	-3	15.9	15.3	0.68	13.3	13.5	-0.21
LeBron James	75	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	-1	7	15.7	14.9	0.83	13.1	14.5	-1.43
Jeff Green	35	35	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	3	-1	14.4	16.2	-1.77	14.0	13.1	0.86
Kyle Korver	38	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	3	-1	14.4	16.2	-1.82	14.1	13.0	1.12
Kevin Love	70	71	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	4	-3	16.3	13.7	2.58	13.3	13.7	-0.35
Jae Crowder	53	55	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	-1	7	15.0	16.2	-1.17	13.3	13.6	-0.31
Derrick Rose	56	54	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	5	-5	15.4	15.7	-0.35	12.7	14.3	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.83,1	93.4%
SAC 74, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
MIN 113, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%