NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	6.8 [494]		MVP	Al Horford (BOS): +48.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	94		Comeback	13.8 [38]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -15.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.46,0.49	0.17	0.32	0.00	10	100%	0.54	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.31	0.08	0.22	-0.01	22	53%	0.31	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.04
Semi Ojeleye	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	1	150%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	8	42%	0.01	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.06
Terry Rozier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Theis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jayson Tatum	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	10	54%	-0.01	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.12	-0.04	20	56%	0.25	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.04
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Terrance Ferguson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.02	-0.07	17	26%	-0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	20	45%	0.01	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.8	25.8	14.6	29.6	2.7	35.3	138.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +46.4%

OKC -4.0%

BOS +3.1%

BOS +4.3%

BOS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	OKC	NBA	BOS	OKC	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	14.7	104.1	100.0	107.5
season	15.1	14.2		106.4	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.7		106.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.7	17.3	13.4	16.4	15.7
OKC	14.2	13.3	15.4	14.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	67	66	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.33	15	-8	23	15.7	15.6	0.18	14.9	13.4	1.45
Al Horford	69	67	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-3	13	15.1	17.1	-1.99	14.9	13.4	1.46
Marcus Morris	42	39	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	-4	15	13.3	17.5	-4.20	13.7	14.9	-1.20
Semi Ojeleye	25	25	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.30	-2	9	-11	18.2	14.8	3.43	16.5	13.7	2.77
Jaylen Brown	64	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	3	1	14.8	17.3	-2.49	13.9	15.5	-1.60
Marcus Smart	59	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	1	5	15.2	16.4	-1.24	13.3	16.2	-2.92
Jayson Tatum	59	57	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	3	1	16.1	15.0	1.09	15.1	13.4	1.72
Terry Rozier	46	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.26	-5	12	-17	17.1	14.4	2.74	14.1	14.7	-0.65
Daniel Theis	16	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	8	-9	16.9	15.5	1.42	12.5	14.8	-2.36
Aron Baynes	38	39	-0.23	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	14	-21	16.9	14.9	1.94	15.1	14.0	1.12

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Abrines	27	30	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-13	19	13.1	15.0	-1.93	14.5	16.2	-1.77
Terrance Ferguson	3	3	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-9	11	14.0	14.5	-0.46	22.7	15.5	7.20
Carmelo Anthony	69	69	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-6	5	14.0	15.8	-1.84	15.5	16.2	-0.79
Jerami Grant	44	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-9	11	15.1	13.9	1.17	15.9	15.5	0.38
Andre Roberson	53	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	15.0	13.7	1.35	15.8	15.6	0.18
Raymond Felton	32	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	1	-9	14.6	14.4	0.18	17.0	15.0	1.94
Steven Adams	64	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	0	-7	14.4	14.5	-0.03	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Patrick Patterson	29	30	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	2	-11	15.3	14.1	1.20	16.5	15.3	1.12
Paul George	76	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	1	-9	14.2	15.4	-1.17	15.5	16.3	-0.78
Russell Westbrook	73	76	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	0	-7	14.5	14.3	0.21	15.5	16.2	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.46,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.04,0	92.8%
WAS 77, NOH 70	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.08,0	91.9%
CLE 84, UTA 71	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.2,0.05,0,0,0	91.6%