NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	99		Excitement	4.6 [937]		MVP	Darius Miller (NOP): +13.3%
Dallas Mavericks	94		Comeback	1.1 [963]		LVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (DAL): -18.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miller	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.03	-0.05	6	75%	0.11	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	19	60%	0.15	4	-0.09	12	83%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Clark	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	12	42%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	16	56%	0.05	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	13	23%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	17	59%	0.07	1	-0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.05	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	64%	0.02	4	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.02	0.06	20	40%	-0.10	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.6	28.2	14.6	24.3	2.3	42.5	143.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +28.2%

DAL -3.1%

NOP +20.8%

NOP +2.5%

NOP +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DAL	NBA	NOP	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.6	14.7	93.4	93.1	107.5
season	13.6	15.4		108.0	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.6		108.1	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.7	12.6	14.3	13.5	13.3
DAL	15.6	14.5	17.0	11.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	91	87	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.12	21	-16	37	12.6	17.4	-4.83	14.7	14.0	0.70
E'Twaun Moore	73	71	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-9	23	13.2	13.4	-0.25	14.6	14.5	0.10
DeMarcus Cousins	82	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-1	7	14.1	10.5	3.61	14.7	14.3	0.42
Jrue Holiday	85	84	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	3	-1	12.5	16.3	-3.84	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Ian Clark	28	26	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-6	17	13.8	13.1	0.72	14.0	14.8	-0.81
Dante Cunningham	35	36	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	-5	15	11.5	14.1	-2.60	17.0	13.3	3.72
Tony Allen	43	37	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.30	-9	14	-23	14.0	12.8	1.18	13.2	15.4	-2.15
Darius Miller	26	23	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	9	-13	15.2	12.6	2.52	15.3	14.4	0.96
Jameer Nelson	63	58	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.48	-19	24	-43	13.5	12.9	0.59	13.9	15.5	-1.62
Josh Smith	4	4	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	12	-19	17.5	13.1	4.41	13.0	14.7	-1.67

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	42	43	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.21	13	-18	31	15.3	14.1	1.25	14.3	12.5	1.76
J.J. Barea	48	47	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.22	9	-14	23	15.1	14.2	0.87	13.8	12.8	0.99
Dwight Powell	26	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-8	11	13.9	14.8	-0.92	14.2	13.0	1.19
Yogi Ferrell	48	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.37	11	-16	27	12.7	16.4	-3.69	13.2	13.3	-0.16
Dirk Nowitzki	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	15.6	13.7	1.89	12.4	14.0	-1.57
Salah Mejri	44	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-11	17	13.7	15.3	-1.63	14.1	12.5	1.59
Nerlens Noel	29	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	13	-31	16.6	13.8	2.78	11.5	14.0	-2.50
Dennis Smith Jr.	62	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	7	-19	14.1	15.4	-1.36	12.7	14.3	-1.58
Harrison Barnes	80	84	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.21	-17	12	-29	14.8	14.0	0.76	13.4	12.8	0.61
Wesley Matthews	79	84	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.23	-17	12	-29	14.8	14.0	0.77	13.2	13.6	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 104, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.1%
TOR 124, ATL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
NYK 93, NJN 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%